OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

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OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

Postby ticka1 » Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:53 pm

Fast approaching is the month of October? Weather thoughts?
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Sep 19, 2018 6:28 pm

My first thought is “GO TO HELL SUMMER!” :)
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby djmike » Thu Sep 20, 2018 5:35 am

Someone already said it in Sept. “This week the heat is finally old!” Over cane season and the heat, its time to start getting excited for the cool or cold fronts. Will we have 3-4 opportunities again this year for snow? We’ll see!
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Sep 20, 2018 3:44 pm

The Climate Prediction Center October Outlook is out and it suggest near to slightly below normal Temperatures and above normal Precipitation.
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09202018 Oct off14_temp.gif
09202018 Oct off14_prcp.gif
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby snowman65 » Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:54 am

Looks like any 50's temps are gone for the foreseeable future. :( :(
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby srainhoutx » Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:56 pm

Odds continue to favor a significant Fall Pattern Change as October begins. The latest Week 3 to Week 4 Outlook from the CPC suggests below normal temperatures and what we tend to see in October after modified Canadian Air settles along and East of the Rockies. Cool and dry NW flow aloft as a blocking regime becomes established as a very strong Alaska Ridge builds and another Ridge builds over Eastern Canada/Newfoundland and Greenland. We typically see some of our most pleasant Chamber of Commerce days across SE Texas in early to mid October.
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09212018 WK34temp.gif
09212018 WK34prcp.gif
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Will Autumn be in the air?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Sep 26, 2018 3:15 pm

A very active and highly volatile weather pattern shaping up as October begins. Potential Major EPAC Hurricane Rosa looks to be the first, possibly in a series of re curving EPAC Tropical systems being picked up by a deep trough situated along the West Coast. Across Canada, a series of fast moving and progressively stronger/colder storms system will spill S into the Lower 48 with increasing snowfall chance outside of the Higher Elevation snows we typically see this time of year. With the MJO highly amplified and shorter wave lengths developing across the Northern Pacific, expect modeling difficulties among our Global Computer Models.
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09262018 CPC Day 8+ Analogs 500hgt_comp_sup610.gif
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Rain Chances Continue

Postby Katdaddy » Mon Oct 01, 2018 7:56 am

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
748 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

TXZ237-337-437-011330-
Inland Brazoria TX-Brazoria Islands TX-Coastal Brazoria TX-
748 AM CDT MON OCT 1 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BRAZORIA COUNTY
UNTIL 830 AM CDT...

At 747 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Oyster Creek to Richwood
to Jones Creek. Movement was north at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.
Observation from Freeport 53 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Lake Jackson, Angleton, Freeport, Clute, West Columbia, Surfside
Beach, Richwood, Brazoria, Jones Creek, Danbury, Oyster Creek,
Holiday Lakes, Bailey`s Prairie, Bonney and southeastern Wild Peach
Village.
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Rain Chances Continue

Postby Texaspirate11 » Mon Oct 01, 2018 10:24 am

Nice storms down here by the bay this morning.
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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Rain Chances Continue

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Mon Oct 01, 2018 1:12 pm

Seeing some 50s and 60s (some high temps) in the long range.
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