March: Warm Days To End The Month With Isolated Showers

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Feb 21, 2012 5:58 pm

Above-Normal Tornado Amounts Expected in 2012
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-n ... ed-1/61631

Could be another active tornado season.
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 22, 2012 7:37 am

Ahh, now this is my kind of thread - MARCH! It even sounds warmer! I don't see any change in the current (or past) pattern into the first week or two of March. Fast-moving storm systems should continue, along with frequent periods of heavy rain. We've been discussing (at work) how the current pattern may be quite conducive to an active tornado season across the south.
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Feb 22, 2012 7:56 am

I could go for 7-10 inches of rain in March and bust this drought all together. That would put us over 30 inches of rain since October.... :shock:
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Feb 22, 2012 8:14 am

Another interesting aspect regarding this persistent pattern of active weather that we have experienced since January is the strong probability that we will not see a heat ridge develop over Texas which will certainly be a change from what we have seen the past couple of years. March is the time I tend to start 'focusing' on the tropical season and what hints may be ahead. ENSO neutral years seem to always seem to have a trick or two up its sleeve regarding early season potential. But that will be for a later time and another topic.
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Feb 22, 2012 10:17 am

keep the heat away!!! I could go for another 2007 spring/summer
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Feb 22, 2012 10:39 am

Also of note is that we have gone ENSO neutral... hello El Nino later this year!

Should be a fun fall/winter of 2012-2013.
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Feb 22, 2012 10:58 am

srainhoutx wrote:Another interesting aspect regarding this persistent pattern of active weather that we have experienced since January is the strong probability that we will not see a heat ridge develop over Texas which will certainly be a change from what we have seen the past couple of years. March is the time I tend to start 'focusing' on the tropical season and what hints may be ahead. ENSO neutral years seem to always seem to have a trick or two up its sleeve regarding early season potential. But that will be for a later time and another topic.


Lastest ENSO Update
viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1091&start=10#p32241

I think we are heading to Neutral sooner than expected. I would not be surprised if we see El Nino by late summer. If so, it would be the first time since 2009.
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February: Cloudy & Cool Saturday

Postby niner21 » Fri Feb 24, 2012 9:49 pm

Hey weather people!!

Can you give me an indication of the weather next week around Comstock, TX from 3/1 to 3/4? How accurate are these weather channel forecasts and NOAA site ones? I'm wishcasting COLD for that period for camping.
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Re: March 2012- even more interesting than Jan & Feb?

Postby sambucol » Sat Feb 25, 2012 12:01 am

Ptarmigan wrote:I think we are heading to Neutral sooner than expected. I would not be surprised if we see El Nino by late summer. If so, it would be the first time since 2009.

If that happens, what would that mean for hurricane season?
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Re: February: Cloudy & Cool Saturday

Postby srainhoutx » Sat Feb 25, 2012 7:38 am

niner21 wrote:Hey weather people!!

Can you give me an indication of the weather next week around Comstock, TX from 3/1 to 3/4? How accurate are these weather channel forecasts and NOAA site ones? I'm wishcasting COLD for that period for camping.

niner21, I moved your post to the March thread where we can answer that question a bit better. It does appear a cold front will pass late week, but not too cold as of this time for areas near Val Verde County...;)
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