AUGUST 2018 - Scatterd Showers/Storms To End August

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Aug 09, 2018 7:47 pm

jasons wrote:0.00


You are cursed. Hopefully a move home to Florida will change your luck. We've watched you doing your darnest to keep a tropical environment alive over the years in Montgomery County. I gave up in less than 3 years upon returning to my Houston roots. We wish you and yours the best as you eventually transfer to Florida!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby jasons » Thu Aug 09, 2018 9:15 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
jasons wrote:0.00


You are cursed. Hopefully a move home to Florida will change your luck. We've watched you doing your darnest to keep a tropical environment alive over the years in Montgomery County. I gave up in less than 3 years upon returning to my Houston roots. We wish you and yours the best as you eventually transfer to Florida!


Thank you. I love Houston. Above all, the people here are are the best. But home is home. I don’t know how long this process will take - lots of moving parts - but I’ll still be around. :)
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby Katdaddy » Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:37 am

A 60% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rain today and Saturday which is well needed for portions of SE TX.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
348 AM CDT Fri Aug 10 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-436>438-111200-
Austin-Brazoria Islands-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-
Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Matagorda Islands-Montgomery-
Northern Liberty-Polk-San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-
Waller-Washington-Wharton-
348 AM CDT Fri Aug 10 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected today with
locally heavy rainfall possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Periods of showers and thunderstorms can be expected on Saturday
with locally heavy rainfall possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby tireman4 » Fri Aug 10, 2018 10:09 am

HGX Radar Update
Attachments
HGX Radar Update 08 10 18.PNG
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby unome » Fri Aug 10, 2018 12:02 pm

not so sure we'll get to see the Perseid shower, but it looks like some of our drought areas in TX will get a needed bit of rain in days 1-3, before the brutal August heat & sun return

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/a ... p_ndfd.gif
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpfloop_6hr_d17.html

We've always returned to the tried & true when it comes to the landscaping plants - can't beat these https://aggie-horticulture.tamu.edu/tex ... &limit=All
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby tireman4 » Fri Aug 10, 2018 12:21 pm

000
FXUS64 KHGX 101551
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1051 AM CDT Fri Aug 10 2018

.UPDATE...
Difficult forecast underway today as heavy rainfall along a
boundary in Central Texas begins to sag into the Piney Woods
region. Showers and thunderstorms have also begun to develop
across the CWA as convective temperatures in the mid 80s have been
reached. Morning soundings and GOES data confirm that a moist
airmass with PWs over 2" has settled across the region. Long and
skinny CAPE aligned with PW values at or above 2" highlight the
potential for heavy rainfall. Additionally, as storms continue to
develop across the CWA and produce outflow boundaries today, the
seabreeze will enhance this convection and add yet another
boundary to the mix. Should several storms pass over the same area
today, or if colliding boundaries result in a nearly stationary
storm as we saw yesterday, minor flooding is a possibility.
Accordingly, WPC has placed the northern half of the CWA in a
marginal excessive rainfall outlook.

For precipitation extent, HRRR/RAP have been underwhelming with
convection the past several days, and NMMB/ARW/NSSL suggest
widespread convection by 18Z. Have leaned closer to the wetter
solutions, as numerous interacting outflow boundaries coupled with
this moist, unstable airmass will likely lead to continuous rounds
of showers and thunderstorms today. ARW/NMMB also indicate a band
of thunderstorms extending from Cleveland to Columbus through 03Z,
so higher POPs were extended for that time. Changes were also made
to temperatures to match trends.
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby Katdaddy » Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:18 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
501 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2018

TXC071-110000-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0085.180810T2201Z-180811T0000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chambers TX-
501 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Northeastern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 700 PM CDT.

* At 459 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause minor flooding in the advisory
area. Rain rates of one to two inches per hour have been reported
with this cluster of storms.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Anahuac.

Any additional rain will result in minor flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby Katdaddy » Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:18 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
458 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2018

TXC071-201-291-110000-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0084.180810T2158Z-180811T0000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chambers TX-Liberty TX-Harris TX-
458 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Northwestern Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Southwestern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 700 PM CDT.

* At 457 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area. Rain rates of one to two inches per hour have
been reported with this cluster of storms.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Northern Pasadena, Baytown, Deer Park, Humble, Beach City,
Cloverleaf, Highlands, Channelview, Barrett, Kingwood, Crosby, Mont
Belvieu, Cove, Morgan`s Point, Bush Intercontinental Airport,
Atascocita, Lake Houston Dam, Lake Houston, Houston Ship Channel
and San Jacinto State Park.

Any additional rain will result in minor flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby jasons » Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:36 pm

Well, it looks like it wants to rain. Will it or is it just teasing me again???
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Re: AUGUST 2018 - Pattern Change/Wetter & Cooler WX Likely

Postby srainhoutx » Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:45 pm

Outflow boundary collisions have done their work today. The East side really took a beating from the earlier storms.

Image
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