June Ends - Hottest on Record

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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby kellybell4770 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:35 am

at least it's supposed to be partly cloudy the next few days - a little relief from the direct sunlight :roll:
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Jun 15, 2011 10:30 am

This drought is up there with 1917-1918 and 1884-1886 drought. Early 1886 was really dry from what I have read. Also, three hurricanes made landfall on Texas that year in 1886. The 1884-1886 drought is considered one of the worst droughts in Texas history.

Severe Droughts In Texas
1884-1886
1917-1918
1950-1957
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby tireman4 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 10:40 am

Proving, yet once again, that all weather is cyclical....
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby Andrew » Wed Jun 15, 2011 11:46 am

srainhoutx wrote:A bit of hopeful news regarding our rain chances this morning. The models are converging on a solution that will break down the Upper Ridge beginning early next week. While it is still days away and we have been down this road too many times only to see that mirage disappear, it does look like deep tropical moisture will begin pooling in the Western Gulf and even a frontal boundary may approach from the N around mid next week. I see that texaskaz has some concern over outdoor wedding plans on the 25th. We'll keep an eye on things and keep everyone advised.



Gfs locates the moisture from the gulf but sends only a little this way while sending the rest eastward.

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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby svrwx0503 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 12:01 pm

12z extended range models still show a glimmer of hope in about 7-8 days or around the middle of next week into next weekend as they continue to show a weakness developing across east Texas with much deeper tropical moisture (pws in the 1.75-2.00'' range) surging into the region from the Gulf. There is also evidence of some possible upper level vorticity along with cooling 850mb temps which should help enhance our diurnal sea breeze type convection if this scenario pans out. Right now it hardly looks like a major rain event, but it could give us several days of at least some scattered activity around along with higher humidity and lighter winds to temporarily alleviate the fire danger. I will be keeping my fingers crossed!
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jun 15, 2011 2:18 pm

As svrwx0503 pointed out, a bit more hope via the 12Z model runs. There is rather good agreement on the break down of the Upper Ridge. Also of note is an area of low pressure that the HPC has added today in the medium range weather maps down in the Bay of Campeche...
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby wxman57 » Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:18 pm

I remain hopeful of rain - but I'm not holding my breath just yet.
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby jasons » Wed Jun 15, 2011 3:30 pm

I just ran across this on the Chronicle's website with some photos of the drought:

http://blog.chron.com/shannontompkins/2 ... d-present/
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jun 15, 2011 4:15 pm

Another hot day in NW Harris County. DW Hooks reporting 100.3 this past hour.
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Re: June - Back to Hot and Dry...

Postby Kludge » Wed Jun 15, 2011 6:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:I remain hopeful of rain - but I'm not holding my breath just yet.


Aw c'mon.... hold it. At least through hour 240.
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