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NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Cpv17 » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:27 pm

mcheer23 wrote:Well...the 12z GFS is quite chilly. :mrgreen:


And wet.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:36 pm

The 12Z Global Deterministic Models have all trended colder including the "new" GFS (FV3) and the ECMWF. The second shot o colder air appears to be trending a bit further West in its trajectory toward the Plains versus a glancing shot to our East.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby CrashTestDummy » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:48 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Cromagnum wrote:I may as well set fire to my St Augustine yard. Brown patch has lost its mind with all the rain this year and chemical control has done absolutely nothing to slow it down, let alone stop it. 75% of my yard is orange now.


and I thought University of Texas' color came from the steer. More like brown patch! There's no fighting >20 inches of rain. That's one way to stop the grass from going and a need to mow regularly. fungicide only put a small dent in progress in the front year. I didn't even bother with the back.

If it's not underwater for months at a time, it's without water for months at a time. It's a wonder there's anything growing at all other than dyemakers puffballs!

Probably time to roll out the Astroturf, but it will probably blow away in the next storm.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby CrashTestDummy » Tue Nov 06, 2018 12:51 pm

Cromagnum wrote::x 84 degree high and pea soup in November...


It's a great day when you can walk outside in the morning, and eat some of the atmosphere for breakfast!! :lol:
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Texaspirate11 » Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:07 pm

Galveston could break a record today with a high temp.....

. Ob trends indicating that we could
see slightly higher temperatures this afternoon...including a high
temperature record that could be broken at Galveston. The previous
record high for GLS is 82F set in 2017 and 2005.


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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Cpv17 » Tue Nov 06, 2018 2:18 pm

Image
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:56 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Image


That's a LeBron level weather slam dunk.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Cpv17 » Wed Nov 07, 2018 12:46 am

Could this challenge records?

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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rain Chances/Chilly Temperatures Ahead

Postby Katdaddy » Wed Nov 07, 2018 5:40 am

A warm muggy morning with areas of fog N of Houston this morning. The SPC has a marginal risk area across SE TX this afternoon and evening ahead of the first cool front. A second cool front will move across SE TX Thursday night bringing much cooler weather through the weekend with highs in the 50s and lows in the 40s. It will seem more like Winter with gloomy skies and showers.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rain Chances/Chilly Temperatures Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Nov 07, 2018 7:12 am

Temperatures tomorrow should start the downward trend from the muggy and sticky late Summer/early Fall 'feels like' conditions we are currently experiencing. Expect temperatures on Friday to be a good 15 to 20 degrees cooler than today and likely holding steady throughout Saturday into midday Sunday when a very strong Canadian Front arrives Sunday night/early Monday. Next Monday could be a very raw drizzly day when temperatures may struggle to reach the upper 40's for highs. We will be watching the Tuesday night/Wednesday morning timeframe very closely as the guidance is indicating that clear skies and very chilly temperatures may bring the first frost to the area. I know our gardeners pay close attention to that sort of detail. Stay tuned!
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