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NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Katdaddy » Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:12 pm

It will be interesting to see how the trough and EPAC will interact the next 5-7 days.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby sau27 » Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:39 pm

12z Euro joining the 12Z GFS showing quite a cold front around next weekend. Not down to freezing but maybe touching the upper 30s at night.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Sat Nov 03, 2018 7:26 am

The pleasant weather will quickly turn cloudy and drizzly tonight as a cold front currently entering the Panhandle sweeps SE and stalls near the Coast tomorrow. A second front arrives Tuesday setting up a chance for some over running moisture from mid week until the end of the work week, The overnight guidance is trending toward the possibility of the strongest cold front of the Fall Season arriving sometime of Friday/early Saturday. There may be a robust winter storm developing across portions of the Panhandle/Southern Plains with this strong cold front with snow in the coldest air and very chilly rain across N Texas. Temperatures may tumble into the upper 30's to low 40's behind that late week front, if the Medium Range guidance is correct.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby snowman65 » Sat Nov 03, 2018 7:33 am

I also noticed a huge plunge of very cold air on the gfs headed this way Thanksgiving week.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Sat Nov 03, 2018 12:46 pm

Anytime I see the ECMWF suggesting a 1050 mb High in Colorado in November that suggests mighty chilly air settling in the Lone Star State. Consensus growing that the first real Blue Norther may be coming late next week.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby Cpv17 » Sat Nov 03, 2018 1:46 pm

Cold and wet times appear to be ahead of us.

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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Sat Nov 03, 2018 5:26 pm

If we can keep the darned EPAC moisture and SJT at bey the front could be pretty dry next weekend.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Sun Nov 04, 2018 1:51 pm

20.37 inches of rain in September and October IMBY. That's just over half a year's worth of precipitation in just 2 months! Whoa.

...and another couple of inches last night. Sunny for the next 3 days before the front.
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Mon Nov 05, 2018 7:12 am

Roller-coaster weather pattern ahead the next 7 to 10 days with cold fronts arriving every 3 to 4 days. The late week front continues to look like the strongest front we've seen so far this Fall Season. I am carefully watching an even stronger front arriving early next week. We could see some snow flying across the Southern Rockies/Central/Southern Plains late this week and again this weekend. If that verifies, the cold air advection behind those two strong fronts could bring some very chilly temperatures well into our Region. Enjoy the 80's today and tomorrow... ;)
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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Rollercoaster Changeable WX Pattern Ahead

Postby tireman4 » Mon Nov 05, 2018 8:15 am

Well, this is a weather forum...so heads up to the East of us...it could be a rocky day out there...
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