July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Andrew » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:11 pm

srainhoutx wrote:Jeff reports White Oak Bayou at I-10 about to begin impacting Main lanes. Also Hunting Bayou @ I-10 may be nearing homes
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:18 pm

Andrew wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Jeff reports White Oak Bayou at I-10 about to begin impacting Main lanes. Also Hunting Bayou @ I-10 may be nearing homes



Yeah - stay home and send the rain up here!
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:19 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
118 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2018

AUSTIN TX-WALLER TX-
118 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2018

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
EAST CENTRAL AUSTIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT.

* AT 118 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SEALY, BROOKSHIRE, SAN FELIPE AND PATTISON.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:20 pm

Now we're getting rumbles of thunder across NW Harris County under the low
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Rip76 » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:22 pm

I noticed this earlier as well.
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:29 pm

Andrew wrote:
DoctorMu wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Starting to see a long band of increasing showers/storms with rainfall rates increasing to near 1.5 per half hour located near NE Harris County/Liberty County line on down the I-69 Corridor to near Brazoria/Lake Jackson/Freeport/Angleton. A weak surface low is located SE of Galveston and S of Sabine Pass with an 850mb vort located near Liberty County. Rainfall, so very heavy should increase as the morning wears on and slowly increase in areal coverage.

Image



Still nearly a bust up here in College Station. Just a trace, and not much on the radar above between Brenham and Navasota. The grass is in poor shape. At least it is cloudy and cooler.


Eh, you still have a chance later today and especially over the next week. I would be shocked if you don't get anything from it all.



Maybe a few brief showers today. Impulses under the ridge from Friday through Monday may yield scattered showers. We haven't had much rain for the last 2 months - fingers crossed before the death ridge settles back in in the last half of July and August.
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:36 pm

A little too far out in the future to get worked up over, but there signs that around the second week of August, the Tropics may heat up, particularly in the Western Basin for about a 3 week period. I will post more about that possibility in our Hurricane Central Section later next week.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby ticka1 » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:36 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Andrew wrote:Freedom over Texas canceled for tonight

http://abc13.com/amp/community-events/f ... s/3700935/



Fireworks will go on according to Update. All concerts cancelled! Nearing 5 inches in NW Harris County and still raining.


no onsite viewing of firewoks
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Andrew » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:43 pm

Andrew wrote:
DoctorMu wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Starting to see a long band of increasing showers/storms with rainfall rates increasing to near 1.5 per half hour located near NE Harris County/Liberty County line on down the I-69 Corridor to near Brazoria/Lake Jackson/Freeport/Angleton. A weak surface low is located SE of Galveston and S of Sabine Pass with an 850mb vort located near Liberty County. Rainfall, so very heavy should increase as the morning wears on and slowly increase in areal coverage.

Still nearly a bust up here in College Station. Just a trace, and not much on the radar above between Brenham and Navasota. The grass is in poor shape. At least it is cloudy and cooler.


Eh, you still have a chance later today and especially over the next week. I would be shocked if you don't get anything from it all.



Maybe a few brief showers today. Impulses under the ridge from Friday through Monday may yield scattered showers. We haven't had much rain for the last 2 months - fingers crossed before the death ridge settles back in in the last half of July and August.



I think this weekend coverage should be pretty good across the area as some rather potent shortwaves are going to retrograde across the gulf coast. Plus a weak front may approach from the northeast and make it over the northeast part of the state this weekend, providing more outflow boundaries to take advantage of. Ill keep my fingers crossed for you.
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Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby don » Wed Jul 04, 2018 1:49 pm

I wouldn’t be surprised if we have another flash flood watch issued over the next few days, due to the saturated grounds.We will have the watch the disturbances over the next week or so for any more heavy rainfall potential.
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