July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby jasons » Wed Jul 04, 2018 10:47 am

3.08” here so far...
Last Measurable Rainfall: August 16
jasons
 
Posts: 1977
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 1:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 10:54 am

Flash Flood Update from Jeff:

Flash Flood event unfolding across Harris County.

Very heavy rainfall continues across central Harris County with 2-4 hour total of 5-6 inches over lower White Oak and lower Buffalo Bayous. Creeks and Bayous are rising rapidly. Overall rainfall trends may be weakening just a little, but an additional 1-2 inches in the next hour is possible on top of what has fallen.

Monitoring the following watersheds:

Halls Bayou

Brickhouse Gully

Lower White Oak

Lower Buffalo

Willow Waterhole.

Rainfall will be expanding westward or “up” the watersheds which will result in upstream run-off moving downstream into already hard hit locations.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17655
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Texaspirate11 » Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:01 am

Just got our power back by the bay

Intense lightning last night - haven't seen it this actively crazy since Harvey
NWS just posted this on twitter:

NWS Houston
More
1050am...Please do not travel across west Houston. Numerous roads have high water & some impassable. Protect yourself, and first responders - PLEASE do not drive into water covered roads
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
User avatar
Texaspirate11
 
Posts: 769
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 1:24 am

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:35 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1131 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2018

FORT BEND TX-BRAZORIA TX-WALLER TX-HARRIS TX-
1131 AM CDT WED JUL 4 2018

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
NORTHEASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WALLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT.

* AT 1130 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
NORTHWESTERN PEARLAND, SUGAR LAND, MISSOURI CITY, NORTHEASTERN
ROSENBERG, STAFFORD, BELLAIRE, KATY, RICHMOND, BROOKSHIRE, TOWN
WEST, PECAN GROVE, ELDRIDGE / WEST OAKS, FIRST COLONY, ADDICKS PARK
TEN, FRESNO, MISSION BEND, SPRING BRANCH WEST, MEADOWS PLACE,
FULSHEAR AND PATTISON.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17655
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby ticka1 » Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:40 am

folks just stay home - dont drive

no holiday off for jeff lindner today.
Last edited by ticka1 on Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
ticka1
 
Posts: 1245
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby texoz » Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:43 am

The Big Blob over Houston seems to be moving a little south of west as of 11:30am Wed. What are expected movements over the next 24-48 hours? On this path, San Antonio looks to be in bull's eye with Austin getting peripheral rains.
texoz
 
Posts: 279
Joined: Tue Mar 02, 2010 9:01 am

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Andrew » Wed Jul 04, 2018 11:50 am

The low continues to move westward, just slowly. Expect another 3-5 inches to be possible, higher in some isolated spots. Just have to radar watch for the next couple hours as models are completely out to lunch right now. I do expect clearing to occur later this afternoon.
Attachments
Screen Shot 2018-07-04 at 11.32.53.png
For All Things Weather Follow www.facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 2795
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby Andrew » Wed Jul 04, 2018 12:00 pm

I-10 at West loop
Attachments
310-3.jpg
310-3.jpg (20.72 KiB) Viewed 262 times
For All Things Weather Follow www.facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 2795
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 04, 2018 12:01 pm

Flood Event Update from Jeff:

Very heavy rainfall continues over the county with storm totals of 5-7 inches over western Downtown Houston to The Medical center.

Willow Waterhole in Westbury is likely to exceed banks

Watching:
Halls
Lower White Oak
Lower Buffalo
Brays
Brickhouse

Additional rainfall of 2-3 inche slikely on top of what has fallen will push some bayous to their bankfull levels
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17655
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby DoctorMu » Wed Jul 04, 2018 12:28 pm

srainhoutx wrote:Starting to see a long band of increasing showers/storms with rainfall rates increasing to near 1.5 per half hour located near NE Harris County/Liberty County line on down the I-69 Corridor to near Brazoria/Lake Jackson/Freeport/Angleton. A weak surface low is located SE of Galveston and S of Sabine Pass with an 850mb vort located near Liberty County. Rainfall, so very heavy should increase as the morning wears on and slowly increase in areal coverage.

Image



Still nearly a bust up here in College Station. Just a trace, and not much on the radar above between Brenham and Navasota. The grass is in poor shape. At least it is cloudy and cooler.
User avatar
DoctorMu
 
Posts: 1248
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station

PreviousNext

Return to Weather Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 1 guest