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JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Tue May 15, 2018 8:44 pm
by ticka1
Starting our June topic being a little over two weeks away.

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 10:25 am
by Texaspirate11
eventually it will rain.... :lol:

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 3:44 pm
by jasons
Well the May forecast was supposed to be wetter then normal. We see how that worked out...

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 5:16 pm
by ticka1
Texaspirate11 wrote:eventually it will rain.... :lol:


promise? yes it will just hope its not in form of tropical system

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 9:46 pm
by Texaspirate11
[quote="jasons"]Well the May forecast was supposed to be wetter then normal. We see how that worked out...[/

i heard we were to be high & dry thru May...yeah it worked out. :lol:

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 9:49 pm
by Texaspirate11
ticka1 wrote:
Texaspirate11 wrote:eventually it will rain.... :lol:


promise? yes it will just hope its not in form of tropical system



Ticka I'm not thinking we'll get a major cane this year if we go by history.
Houston has never been hit with 2 major canes back to back - so now that i say that LOL
Wont rule out a TS though - and yes It Only Takes One and I'm Ms. Over prepared anyway :-)

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Thu May 17, 2018 6:07 pm
by jasons
Texaspirate11 wrote:
jasons wrote:Well the May forecast was supposed to be wetter then normal. We see how that worked out...


i heard we were to be high & dry thru May...yeah it worked out. :lol:


Look at Page 2 of the May thread. Big bullseye of wetness over Texas from the CPC. It verified so far for the Hill Country areas but not for us...

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Thu May 17, 2018 6:16 pm
by jasons
Texaspirate11 wrote:
ticka1 wrote:
Texaspirate11 wrote:eventually it will rain.... :lol:


promise? yes it will just hope its not in form of tropical system



Ticka I'm not thinking we'll get a major cane this year if we go by history.
Houston has never been hit with 2 major canes back to back - so now that i say that LOL
Wont rule out a TS though - and yes It Only Takes One and I'm Ms. Over prepared anyway :-)


The Upper Texas coast and Houston did not get hit by a land falling hurricane last year. Harvey made landfall on the middle Texas coast near Aransas Pass. So even though we got the flood after landfall, climatologically, we did not record a hit.

It doesn’t matter anyway. The atmosphere doesn’t have a memory. Four hurricanes hit Florida in 2005 (a first). There is no such thing as ‘safety’ or ‘immunity’ because of what happened last year.

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Sun May 20, 2018 11:44 am
by Ptarmigan
Texaspirate11 wrote:
ticka1 wrote:
Texaspirate11 wrote:eventually it will rain.... :lol:


promise? yes it will just hope its not in form of tropical system



Ticka I'm not thinking we'll get a major cane this year if we go by history.
Houston has never been hit with 2 major canes back to back - so now that i say that LOL
Wont rule out a TS though - and yes It Only Takes One and I'm Ms. Over prepared anyway :-)


Major hurricanes have hit back to back in Southeast Texas. Try 1880s and 1940s.

1886 Indianola Hurricane
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1886_Indianola_hurricane

Texas-Louisiana Hurricane of 1886
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1886_Atla ... ricane_Ten

1941 Texas hurricane
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1941_Texas_hurricane

1942 Matagorda hurricane
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1942_Matagorda_hurricane

They were initially not classified as major hurricanes until recently. Get this, two hurricanes hit Southeast Texas a week apart in 1942.

1942 Hurricane Season
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1942_Atla ... ane_season

Re: JUNE 2018 will the rains come?

PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2018 2:38 pm
by DoctorMu
jasons wrote:
Texaspirate11 wrote:
ticka1 wrote:promise? yes it will just hope its not in form of tropical system



Ticka I'm not thinking we'll get a major cane this year if we go by history.
Houston has never been hit with 2 major canes back to back - so now that i say that LOL
Wont rule out a TS though - and yes It Only Takes One and I'm Ms. Over prepared anyway :-)


The Upper Texas coast and Houston did not get hit by a land falling hurricane last year. Harvey made landfall on the middle Texas coast near Aransas Pass. So even though we got the flood after landfall, climatologically, we did not record a hit.

It doesn’t matter anyway. The atmosphere doesn’t have a memory. Four hurricanes hit Florida in 2005 (a first). There is no such thing as ‘safety’ or ‘immunity’ because of what happened last year.


Luck of the draw. IF El Nino kicks in we may see more shear, reducing TS severity and development. We'll see.