JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 19, 2018 6:37 pm

With tropical moisture, there tend to be more rain at night. Rainfall forecasts model do forecast the rain amount correctly for the most part. Getting the location on the other hand is a different story.
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
 
Posts: 3154
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:20 pm

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby FreeportTX35 » Tue Jun 19, 2018 6:50 pm

How much rain is left out in the gulf?
FreeportTX35
 
Posts: 17
Joined: Mon Jun 11, 2018 1:35 pm

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby unome » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:10 pm

jasons wrote:Looking at satellite and radar, looks like it decoupled to me...thought it was happening a few hours again but now it's pretty apparent.


can you (or someone else) please explain "decoupling" for those who may be browsing the forum but not weather geeks like some - many thanks
unome
 
Posts: 2392
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 7:11 pm
Location: Cypress

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby unome » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:28 pm

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
720 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-
335>338-201200-
Austin-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Coastal Brazoria-
Coastal Galveston-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-
Coastal Matagorda-Colorado-Fort Bend-Grimes-Houston-
Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-Inland Harris-Inland Jackson-
Inland Matagorda-Madison-Montgomery-Northern Liberty-Polk-
San Jacinto-Southern Liberty-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Wharton-
720 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Areas of rain with embedded showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Any locally heavy rain that develops may result in flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Thursday.
Any locally heavy rain that develops may result in flooding. Tropical
funnel clouds may also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rain totals or any flooding observed
to the National Weather Service.

$$

TXZ436>438-201200-
Brazoria Islands-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
Matagorda Islands-
720 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Areas of rain with embedded showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Any locally heavy rain that develops may result in flooding.

A high rip current risk will exist along Gulf-facing beaches. Minor
tidal overwash will also be possible along Highway 87 on the Bolivar
Peninsula at times of high tide.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Thursday.
Any locally heavy rain that develops may result in flooding. Tropical
funnel clouds may also be possible.

A high rip current risk will be possible along Gulf-facing beaches through
Wednesday afternoon. Minor tidal overwash will also be possible along
Highway 87 on the Bolivar Peninsula at times of high tide.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report rain totals or any flooding observed
to the National Weather Service.

$$

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-201200-
Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM-
Galveston Bay-Matagorda Bay-
Waters from Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM-
720 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Areas of rain with embedded areas of showers and thunderstorms can be
expected. Locally heavy rainfall resulting in reduced visibilities,
gusty winds, and funnel clouds or waterspouts will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Thursday
and will be capable of locally heavy rainfall resulting in reduced
visibilities, gusty winds and funnel clouds or waterspouts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Mariners are encouraged to report any hazardous weather they observe
to the Coast Guard or National Weather Service.

$$
unome
 
Posts: 2392
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 7:11 pm
Location: Cypress

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby unome » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:31 pm

a bit late, sorry - you can find all the LCH stuff here: https://twitter.com/iembot_lch

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
701 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

TXC245-361-200300-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FA.W.0008.180620T0001Z-180620T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson TX-Orange TX-
701 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2018

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for Urban Areas and Small Streams in...
Eastern Jefferson County in southeastern Texas...
Central Orange County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1000 PM CDT.

* At 655 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
that heavy rain has ended this evening, with only light rain
lingering. However, today's additional rainfall of 4 to 6 inches
over saturated ground is still causing some runoff and drainage
issues within underpasses and low lying areas. This will slowly
drain this evening.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Nederland, Groves, Port Neches, Vidor,
Bridge City, Central Gardens, Sabine Pass, Rose City, Pine Forest,
Port Acres, Orangefield, Southeast Texas Regional Airport and Sea
Rim State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
unome
 
Posts: 2392
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 7:11 pm
Location: Cypress

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:47 pm

Nearly 2 inches of rain in my gage since Sunday. Grateful for every drop. Sprinkler system was turned off Saturday and our A/C system has hardly operated which to me is a win win in Mid June.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17828
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby jasons » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:49 pm

unome wrote:
jasons wrote:Looking at satellite and radar, looks like it decoupled to me...thought it was happening a few hours again but now it's pretty apparent.


can you (or someone else) please explain "decoupling" for those who may be browsing the forum but not weather geeks like some - many thanks


It was trying to form some sort of surface low that was stacked with the mid-level center. The low level center or swirl continued on to the west, while it looked like the mid-level center shot more to the NNW, splitting off or decoupling. So it lost what little organization it had. There are little vortices all over the place now, and indication it's just a trough of low pressure at this point.
Last Measurable Rainfall: September 25
jasons
 
Posts: 2035
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 1:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby Katdaddy » Tue Jun 19, 2018 7:53 pm

The Flash Flood Watch for the Houston-Galveston areas expired at 7PM tonight. Some locally heavy rains will still be possible overnight and tomorrow.

We watched the heavy tropical rains train across the Beaumont-Port Arthurs area for a second day with one weather station in downtown Port Arthur recording 9.05” today for a 2 day total of 14.15”.
Attachments
Screen Shot 2018-06-19 at 7.51.34 PM.png
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 1833
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 9:18 am
Location: League City, Tx

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby DoctorMu » Tue Jun 19, 2018 8:04 pm

srainhoutx wrote:Nearly 2 inches of rain in my gage since Sunday. Grateful for every drop. Sprinkler system was turned off Saturday and our A/C system has hardly operated which to me is a win win in Mid June.


Hoping for that tonight and tomorrow. Only 0.325 in. for the event with spotty, light showers so far. Cinch bugs have mounted a sneak attack on the side yard from my neighbors yard. Never can titrate this water just right. Going broke in the summer vs keeping the grass alive!

Need to roll double sixes for a nice, lasting bolus of rain.
User avatar
DoctorMu
 
Posts: 1291
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station

Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Postby DoctorMu » Tue Jun 19, 2018 8:09 pm

The steep gradient has been closer to the coast as expected. One more roll of the dice for we northern co. inland folks!

Image

Image
User avatar
DoctorMu
 
Posts: 1291
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station

PreviousNext

Return to Weather Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], LightningBolt and 1 guest