April 2018- April To End Cooler/Drier Than Normal

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby redneckweather » Wed Apr 25, 2018 3:24 pm

jasons wrote:
tireman4 wrote:Jason,

Are they doing Summer League? Mine gave up on that this year. He said it was too hot..LOL. We are still with the elite swim club year around. Also....


Yes, we just do summer league (for now). They swim for the Imperial Oaks Seals. My youngest is also in baseball, both spring and fall ball, and that's about all we can handle right now. I remember the first meet last year was chilly (50's in the AM) but every meet after that was hot. They have been really chilly at practice this year, purple lips and everything, and it takes a lot out of them. They are ready for the water to warm up.


What org does your son play for?
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby jasons » Wed Apr 25, 2018 3:37 pm

redneckweather wrote:What org does your son play for?


He plays for ORWALL (Oak Ridge-Woodlands Area Little League).
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby unome » Wed Apr 25, 2018 3:41 pm

Severe warnings being posted by EWX:

https://twitter.com/iembot_ewx
https://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio
https://radar.weather.gov/lite/N0R/EWX_loop.gif

Image
Mesoscale Discussion 0289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0324 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

Areas affected...parts of south Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 252024Z - 252230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A severe storm or two -- with potential to produce hail
and/or locally damaging winds. WW is not anticipated at this time
due to anticipated limited coverage of risk.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a cluster of thunderstorms near
and west of the SAT area, along a cold front moving steadily
southward across south Texas. Other, stronger cells are ongoing
well west of the Rio Grande over northeast Mexico -- where much
greater instability is observed.

With that said, the eastern extension of the axis of stronger
instability extends just across the river into Laredo/Cotulla area,
south of the ongoing storms. As the front advances southward into
this area, a couple of more vigorous storms may develop. While
shear remains somewhat modest across the area -- only marginally
supportive of mid-level rotation, some risk for hail and or damaging
winds may evolve locally late this afternoon and early evening.

..Goss/Hart.. 04/25/2018

...Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
Last edited by unome on Thu Apr 26, 2018 3:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby jasons » Thu Apr 26, 2018 7:32 am

Looks like everything fell apart and skated south of us, pretty much as expected. Onto next weeks’s system. It better not flake out on us, as we’re gonna need the rain!
Last Measurable Rainfall: September 13
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby BlueJay » Thu Apr 26, 2018 8:44 am

No rain for us. I watered the lawn.
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby Texaspirate11 » Thu Apr 26, 2018 9:12 am

GOT to love our HGX NWS,,,lets hear it for the Midnight Shift

The result is a bunch of slight chance and low end chance PoPs splattered
throughout the entire first half of the week. In other words...the
most recent XKCD comic (Number 1985, for posterity) is
disturbingly appropriate to my situation tonight and I`ll be
keeping my eye out for security for the rest of my shift...

Another more significant chance of rain looks to be on tap just
beyond the end of this forecast period. Guidance is very gung ho
on rain, and if this period were a part of the official forecast,
I`d undercut it significantly on PoPs. This is partly due to
range, and partly due to the underperformance of the last couple
of fronts. Let`s be honest, here - the nascent beginning of a
seabreeze pattern, some more spacing between fronts, more
underwhelming fronts, and the fact that it`s late April...We`re
not there yet, and there`s still some springtime to be had in the
coming weeks, but it`s time to brace yourselves, as summer is
coming.
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby jasons » Thu Apr 26, 2018 6:25 pm

That is great. Here is a link to the comic: https://xkcd.com/1985/
Last Measurable Rainfall: September 13
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby unome » Thu Apr 26, 2018 6:26 pm

Texaspirate11 wrote:GOT to love our HGX NWS,,,lets hear it for the Midnight Shift

The result is a bunch of slight chance and low end chance PoPs splattered throughout the entire first half of the week. In other words...the most recent XKCD comic (Number 1985, for posterity) is disturbingly appropriate to my situation tonight and I`ll be keeping my eye out for security for the rest of my shift...


huge XKCD fan here, luv our weather professionals with humor :lol:
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Re: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby Texaspirate11 » Fri Apr 27, 2018 9:43 am

I knew yall would be on it!!!!!

Remember this Saturday is TAX FREE Emergency Preparedness Supply Day!
I know we have to restock our supplies - and get ready for Hurricane 2018...which shall be
in progress....soon....

happy weekend.
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