MARCH 2018 - Pleasant Good Friday/Easter Weekend Ahead

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MARCH 2018 - Pleasant Good Friday/Easter Weekend Ahead

Postby ticka1 » Wed Feb 14, 2018 9:21 pm

Fast approaching is Rodeo time. Will it be cold and wet? Rainy and warm? Or will they have nice spring weather? What are long range models hinting at?
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Feb 15, 2018 10:25 am

NWSCPC‏Verified account @NWSCPC · 1h1 hour ago
Odds are tilted towards warm and dry conditions in our forecast for March through May from California through the Southern Plains, which could intensify drought concerns for the region. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... php?lead=1

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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby snowman65 » Thu Feb 15, 2018 2:40 pm

I do believe spring has sprung! Time to put out the weed and feed.
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby srainhoutx » Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:06 pm

The Updated CFSv2 Weekly Outlooks suggest more "colder" air may arrive after the first week of March.
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby Texaspirate11 » Mon Feb 19, 2018 2:45 pm

It always seems to rain when the Trail riders come into town....
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby srainhoutx » Mon Feb 19, 2018 3:01 pm

It also seems we have a cold shot during the Rodeo as well. This year may be no different.
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby DoctorMu » Mon Feb 19, 2018 4:32 pm

srainhoutx wrote:It also seems we have a cold shot during the Rodeo as well. This year may be no different.


That's often the case, stretching into the first part of Spring Break time. Late winter La Nina busting quite possible.


Bring back some NW flow!
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby harp » Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:54 pm

If we are going to get a cold snap in early March, it still isn't showing up on the operational GFS.
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Feb 22, 2018 8:18 am

A quick update on what early March Weather may bring. Our Teleconnection Indices suggest a significant Northern Hemispheric Pattern change may be lurking with an extremely negative Arctic Oscillation and an extremely negative North Atlantic Oscillation suggesting a Bridge to Bridge Blocking Regime impacting North America. The GEFS Ensembles are 'sniffing out' this pattern change that may bring a return of "colder" weather across much of North America including where we live in Texas. It's Rodeo time in Houston and I expect both chili and chilly weather may be in the cards... ;)

02222018 ao_sprd2.gif

02222018 4indices.png

02222018 00Z GEFS gfs-ens_z500a_namer_52.png

02222018 00Z GEFS 306gfs-ens_T2ma_namer_52.png
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Re: MARCH 2018 - will the current pattern continue?

Postby snowman65 » Fri Feb 23, 2018 2:03 pm

srainhoutx wrote:The Updated CFSv2 Weekly Outlooks suggest more "colder" air may arrive after the first week of March.


oh great...looks like more warm and muggy and rainy because that thing hasnt been accurate that far out since december. :?
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