FEBRUARY 2018 - Roller Coaster WX To End February

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby jasons » Sun Feb 11, 2018 7:29 pm

OK, my NWS pinpoint forecast low is 38. I don’t feel like trudging outside in this cold to cover anything. I’m counting on you, NWS, to not bust this one.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby jasons » Sun Feb 11, 2018 9:00 pm

Aaaand it’s already down to 37...
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby Cromagnum » Sun Feb 11, 2018 10:35 pm

It's 40 at our house but grass is already starting to green up in places. Is winter basically over for us, or is there anything on the horizon for freezing (or near freezing) the rest of the month? Pretty much counting on a wet spring so looking to put down preemergents and bifen for ants as soon as it is dry for long enough to undo the swamp.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby CrashTestDummy » Sun Feb 11, 2018 10:44 pm

jasons wrote:Aaaand it’s already down to 37...


Kind of in the same boat here in northern Brazoria county. We brought the potted plants in, but are relying on the wind to stay up and keep the air mixed enough to keep it from getting really cold for the other plants. Still, though, the dew points are right at freezing, so if the winds drop much below forecast, we could see frost in the morning, which wouldn’t be good.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby unome » Sun Feb 11, 2018 10:49 pm

we are already 37, 2 degrees below forecast, but not forecast to get much lower - hope we don't freeze, but everything's pretty much dead out there already so guess it wouldn't matter much
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby DoctorMu » Mon Feb 12, 2018 3:02 am

Cromagnum wrote:It's 40 at our house but grass is already starting to green up in places. Is winter basically over for us, or is there anything on the horizon for freezing (or near freezing) the rest of the month? Pretty much counting on a wet spring so looking to put down preemergents and bifen for ants as soon as it is dry for long enough to undo the swamp.



fipronil is much better for fire ant control than Bifen. Can DIY if you know where to get it or find a pest control guy to apply it.


We're below freezing in CLL right now. 30°F.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby Katdaddy » Mon Feb 12, 2018 6:34 am

It feels like Winter today with cloudy skies and temps in the upper 40s. Temps slowly warm tomorrow with increasing rain chances. Thursday still looks to be a nice warm day with highs in the upper 70s and lots of sun. More clouds and rain chances arrive for next weekend.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Strong Arctic Front & Slowly Warming Tem

Postby Cromagnum » Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:14 am

DoctorMu wrote:
Cromagnum wrote:It's 40 at our house but grass is already starting to green up in places. Is winter basically over for us, or is there anything on the horizon for freezing (or near freezing) the rest of the month? Pretty much counting on a wet spring so looking to put down preemergents and bifen for ants as soon as it is dry for long enough to undo the swamp.



fipronil is much better for fire ant control than Bifen. Can DIY if you know where to get it or find a pest control guy to apply it.


We're below freezing in CLL right now. 30°F.


Haven't tried fipronil, but I put Bifen down in August and still have not seen a fire ant bed in my yard while my neighborhood has 100s.
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Warming Trend/Weekend Cold Front

Postby srainhoutx » Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:41 am

Fortunately the only areas I can find that hit the freezing mark is College Station/Caldwell/Crockett and Huntsville briefly before clouds rolled in from the NE.

I am skeptical about any real chance at seeing much sunshine this week as the active somewhat progressive weather pattern continues into the weekend. A shortwave moves across our Region tomorrow bringing a chance for showers with a brief break on Wednesday, the showers return Thursday into Friday as another cold front works its way S and off the Coast Friday night. Over running light rain chances appear possible over the weekend. Below is the 7 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast from the Weather Prediction Center. I suspect fog may become a problem as well as temperatures rise over the relative cool Coastal waters with SE winds.

02122018 7 Day QPF p168i.gif

02122018 Day 4 fronts 9khwbg_conus.gif

02122018 Day 5 fronts 9lhwbg_conus.gif

02122018 Day 6 fronts 9mhwbg_conus.gif

02122018 Day 7 fronts 9nhwbg_conus.gif
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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Warming Trend/Weekend Cold Front

Postby tireman4 » Mon Feb 12, 2018 10:53 am

Alluding to what Srain stated in his daily...

000
FXUS64 KHGX 121540
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
940 AM CST Mon Feb 12 2018

.UPDATE...
Thick overcast will keep it colder today than previously anticipated
with many southeastern Texas communities struggling to achieve
the middle to upper 40s. This low stratus is also pretty thick as
local soundings depict a near 2.5k ft layer thickness. A lower
angle sun will likely not be able to erode this deck across the
majority of the CWA and...with decent lower level northeasterly
winds reinforcing this cold air advection pattern...have trended
afternoon temperatures back even more. There may be a brief (cloud)
break out across the northern tier counties that will have them
topping out at around 50 F this afternoon. The southern 2/3rds of
the forecast area appears to remain in the 40s. A relatively dry
day other than the occansional morning mist or a few spits of
rain/drizzle. As the surface high currently centered over the
middle Mississippi River Valley expands further east...our winds
will slowly veer around the easterly dial through mid-week and
become onshore by mid-week. A shortwave disturbance passing across
central Mexico today will be brought up within the southwesterly
flow. This will provide the gentle lift needed to increase early
Tuesday`s rain chances. Short term forecast is for west-to-east
moving early Tuesday showers with little change in overnight
temperatures per precipitation and overcast...average lower to
middle 40s. 31

&&
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