Page 48 of 103

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:44 pm
by snowman65
They did have rain/snow showers in our forcast for Tuesday briefly but back to rain only. Im sure it will change a few more times until then...

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 4:34 pm
by TexasBreeze
Freezing rain is in for Harris County Tuesday NWS. Not a snow forecast for now.

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:56 pm
by DoctorMu
NOAA suppressed the high down to 34°F on Tuesday. Wintry mix expected in CLL.

HGX
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A dry, but cold weekend is in store across the region. Most inland
locations will see freezing overnight temperatures tonight and
Saturday night. A few areas northeast of a Burleson-Cleveland line
may see readings briefly dip to around 24 degrees tonight. We`re
not planning to issue a hard freeze warning at the moment, but
will let the next shift reevaluate the trends.

Winds gradually veer to an onshore direction on Sunday...allowing
for a return of moisture to the region through the day Monday
ahead of an Arctic front that`ll be diving southward through the
Plains.

Models are in fairly good agreement bringing the frontal boundary,
and associated precipitation ahead of and behind it, into
southeast Texas late Monday night and Tuesday. It`s still too
early to accurately predict the thermal profile at the surface and
aloft that far out
, but chances are that portions of the area may
see precip transition from liquid to frozen at some point as
temperatures fall through the day. Expect changes to the forecast
as time gets closer, details become more clear (hopefully), and
forecast confidence improves.

Precip should come to an end Tuesday evening. Cold temperatures will
linger through the midweek time period, followed by gradual moderating
trend going into the weekend as onshore winds resume. 47

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 3:24 am
by unome
currently sitting at 34, 6 degrees higher than point forecast, but dewpoint is 20 so I expect that to fall

executive airport looks much colder than surrounding area, not sure that'c correct?

love the GOES16 WV Loop at this site
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php? ... =0&limit=1
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KCFD
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KTME
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KDWH
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KIAH
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KHOU

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:31 am
by snowman65
Is it just me or is this system just not drawing near the attention as the last system a few weeks ago? Doesnt seem to be much interest. I figure the room would be hopping.

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 8:33 am
by BlueJay
Our fingers are frozen....

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:14 pm
by KHOU BLake
12z Euro is coming in. Continues trend of backing off the frozen precip. It still shows a chance of some very light -P but overall pretty underwhelming. Looks like the dry air will be difficult to overcome.

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:44 pm
by don
Starting to think the second system on Thursday may be more impactful than the Tuesday storm, the Euro shows an ice storm for central and southeast Texas including the Austin and Houston area's, the 12z Canadian and GFS also hinted at this...

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:48 pm
by stormlover
Image ?

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

PostPosted: Sat Jan 13, 2018 2:13 pm
by srainhoutx
The afternoon Updated Day 3 QPF output suggests possibly a .10th of inch of liquid on Tuesday. The Afternoon WPC Freezing Rain map for Tuesday shows the greatest threat across the Hill Country and N and E with very slight chances further S into SE Texas and Houston Metro.