JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby KHOU BLake » Wed Jan 17, 2018 1:53 pm

College Station officially came in at 15° but according to the NWS, 1 mile south of College Station, the temperature dropped to 11°.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jan 17, 2018 3:08 pm

One more night of Hard Freeze coming...

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
137 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

...HARD FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT...

.ANOTHER COLD NIGHT ON TAP WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING BETWEEN 6 AND 8 PM AND
CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE 15 TO 21 DEGREE RANGE BEFORE SUNRISE.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE BACK TO AROUND FREEZING BY 9 AM THURSDAY.

Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-Grimes-Harris-Houston-Liberty-Madison-
Montgomery-Polk-San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Including the cities of Anahuac, Brenham, Brookshire, Bryan,
Caldwell, Cleveland, Coldspring, College Station, Conroe,
Corrigan, Crockett, Dayton, Groveton, Hempstead, Houston, Humble,
Huntsville, Katy, Lake Somerville, Liberty, Livingston,
Madisonville, Mont Belvieu, Navasota, Onalaska, Pasadena,
Prairie View, Shepherd, The Woodlands, Tomball, Trinity, Willis,
and Winnie
137 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
CST THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a
Hard Freeze Warning, which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to
9 AM CST Thursday.

* EVENT...Hard freeze with temperatures 15 to 22.

* TIMING...below freezing 6 to 8 pm and bottoming out before
sunrise. Rising back above freezing around 9 am.

* IMPACT...Hypothermia for people and pets. Further damage to
vegetation. Possible damage to unprotected pipes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Hard Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are
imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and
other sensitive vegetation.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby unome » Wed Jan 17, 2018 3:18 pm

srainhoutx wrote:From the West Gulf River Forecast Center via Twitter

01172018 West Gulf River Foercast Center DTwmGfqUQAAH_PM.jpg


I think the image on the left side of their Twitter post uses Day Cloud Phase RGB, I save an image off of it from about 16:00 UTC yesterday & have it as my wallpaper - it's gorgeous ! Wish I knew how to find an archive of them

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/b ... _drop=show
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jan 17, 2018 3:29 pm

DTwidHfWAAIz8iT.jpg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby Cromagnum » Wed Jan 17, 2018 4:07 pm

In other news, Houston motorists are very impatient and very stupid.

http://abc13.com/2957219/?sf179477008=1
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby mckinne63 » Wed Jan 17, 2018 4:16 pm

Cromagnum wrote:In other news, Houston motorists are very impatient and very stupid.

http://abc13.com/2957219/?sf179477008=1


I saw that on the News and transstar this morning. My first thought was "glad I follow this forum so am not out there." I know some HAVE to be on the roads, but I do wonder how many of those cars HAD to be on the road. The semis... well just don't know but they probably have a deadline. And I saw on the news most of the semis were waiting patiently for the road to reopen.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jan 17, 2018 5:50 pm

I noticed some clouds approaching from our SW while out running errands. That may limit some of the lowest forecast low temperatures for some areas. Looking at the afternoon Updated Climate Prediction Center Outlooks and analogs, it appears our next best first shot of some colder air arrives around the 27th or so. The analogs suggest a deep Western trough that extends into the Plains while the East Coast thaws out. I have a feeling that shortly after February begins we will be back to a cold and possibly wintry pattern.
Attachments
814temp.new(6).gif
814prcp.new(6).gif
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby SKIDOG46 » Wed Jan 17, 2018 7:24 pm

I remember late last week there was a model that predicted precipitation on Thursday morning. The clouds down south coming our way tonight is that what the model picked up on?
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jan 17, 2018 7:32 pm

SKIDOG46 wrote:I remember late last week there was a model that predicted precipitation on Thursday morning. The clouds down south coming our way tonight is that what the model picked up on?


The dynamics were much stronger in the Upper Levels last week when some of the guidance suggested a wintry mix tonight and tomorrow morning. The disturbance is weaker and we are so dry at the mid/lower levels that anything that might fall should evaporate except down in the Rio Grande Valley where there is a chance of light freezing drizzle.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

Postby TexasBreeze » Wed Jan 17, 2018 10:03 pm

Could be a touch cooler or about the same in the morning than this morning was considering the quick temp drop and the cloud bank staying away so far. 25 Hooks arpt already. Only mitigating factor is the dew point is 19 and rising.
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