JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jan 12, 2018 8:58 am

29F in NW Harris County this morning for my low. Wind will makes it feel like 19F. Look for a reinforcing shot of cold air to arrive tomorrow with possibly even colder morning temperatures Sunday morning under clear skies.

We get a brief return flow off the Gulf Monday before another strong shot of Canadian Air arrives Tuesday. The models are 'hinting' that our Northern Counties may have a chance to switch over to a wintry mix before it dries out. Right now in Metro Houston, it looks like a cold rain. That said it's still 5 days out and the Global models do indicate a strong 1050 Arctic Ridge dropping into the Plains so we will see if we can squeeze another wintry mischief event out of this pattern.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Fri Jan 12, 2018 9:12 am

srainhoutx wrote:29F in NW Harris County this morning for my low. Wind will makes it feel like 19F. Look for a reinforcing shot of cold air to arrive tomorrow with possibly even colder morning temperatures Sunday morning under clear skies.

We get a brief return flow off the Gulf Monday before another strong shot of Canadian Air arrives Tuesday. The models are 'hinting' that our Northern Counties may have a chance to switch over to a wintry mix before it dries out. Right now in Metro Houston, it looks like a cold rain. That said it's still 5 days out and the Global models do indicate a strong 1050 Arctic Ridge dropping into the Plains so we will see if we can squeeze another wintry mischief event out of this pattern.


I'm right on the rain/mix line, but I'm not worried about that. As usual with these fronts< they tend to come in colder and with a TEN FIFTY plus HP coming down I think we will trend colder>
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:03 am

Tuesday looks very interesting along I-35 and East for most of the state. 12z came in a tad colder overall for the state and more moisture.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby don » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:52 am

Yes GFS is trending more and more towards the Euro, we all know that in this range models tend to underestimate the cold air, i would expect the trend to continue as we get closer and wouldn't be surprised at all to see frozen precipitation further south than what the GFS is showing now, like what the Euro shows.

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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby Cromagnum » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:58 am

It can do all the wintry crap it wants next week. I have visitors coming from the Middle East I need to work with all week and don't have time to deal with road closures and morons on the road.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby don » Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:31 pm

12z Euro is still onboard with a wintry mix as far south as the coastal counties
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:49 pm

TXDOT Houston Regional Offices are pre treating roadways/flyovers/overpasses today and will again tomorrow. Monday is a Federal Holiday, so as a precaution certain Freeways are being brined.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby DoctorMu » Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:00 pm

srainhoutx wrote:TXDOT Houston Regional Offices are pre treating roadways/flyovers/overpasses today and will again tomorrow. Monday is a Federal Holiday, so as a precaution certain Freeways are being brined.


Dew points will probably be low - that helps a bit as well. TxDOT did a good job with the New Year's Eve and Jan 2 events. I was on the road and no problems at all. As always watch bridges and overpasses.

It's actually a beautiful blue skied, sunny day in CLL. As blue a sky as I've ever seen in Texas. A little nippy but feels good in the sun.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby KHOU BLake » Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:02 pm

12z Euro brings borderline winter storm to parts of Houston. 12z gfs does seem to be trending towards a colder, wetter solution, too.
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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby mckinne63 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:28 pm

I am probably in the minority, but love being able to wear my winter coat and sweaters! I was born in Wisconsin, so this is spring like temps there. :lol: Wearing shorts in January is just wrong. ;) Been in Texas for 31 years now, still can't get used to wearing shorts in Winter, but do it as a necessity when it is warm and humid. Not hoping for freezing roadways though! Just keep it chilly and sunny.
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