December 2017: End Of The Year Weather

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby wxman57 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 1:34 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Man, the models have gone schizo.

12z reverts back to a fetch of moisture over Texas and snow in Brownsville on Christmas Day :lol:

I'm sure that will happen.


The 12Z what? GFS and Canadian have no precip and cold temps Christmas day. Canadian has a low in the mid 20s, the GFS a low in the mid 30s. No moisture in Texas with either of them. European model isn't in through the 25th yet.
User avatar
wxman57
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 2599
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:34 am
Location: Southwest Houston (Westbury)

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby tireman4 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 1:38 pm

Please use this for fun purposes only. No one knows what the heck will happen...nice colors though..NCEP GEFS Total Snowfall
Attachments
GEM Snowfall Total.PNG
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 1829
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby snowman65 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 1:42 pm

tireman4 wrote:Please use this for fun purposes only. No one knows what the heck will happen...nice colors though..NCEP GEFS Total Snowfall


I'll take 2 of those, please.... :lol: :lol: :lol:
User avatar
snowman65
 
Posts: 479
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby stormlover » Mon Dec 18, 2017 2:01 pm

models are everywhere right now, Thursday we will have a better idea, I am interested to see what nam shows
stormlover
 
Posts: 219
Joined: Wed Dec 04, 2013 11:21 am

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Mon Dec 18, 2017 2:16 pm

wxman57 wrote:
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Man, the models have gone schizo.

12z reverts back to a fetch of moisture over Texas and snow in Brownsville on Christmas Day :lol:

I'm sure that will happen.


The 12Z what? GFS and Canadian have no precip and cold temps Christmas day. Canadian has a low in the mid 20s, the GFS a low in the mid 30s. No moisture in Texas with either of them. European model isn't in through the 25th yet.



This is what I’m referring to regarding snow in Brownsville

Image
Team #NeverSummer
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
 
Posts: 896
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 5:31 pm
Location: Magnolia, TX

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby KHOU BLake » Mon Dec 18, 2017 2:17 pm

wxman57 wrote:
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Man, the models have gone schizo.

12z reverts back to a fetch of moisture over Texas and snow in Brownsville on Christmas Day :lol:

I'm sure that will happen.


The 12Z what? GFS and Canadian have no precip and cold temps Christmas day. Canadian has a low in the mid 20s, the GFS a low in the mid 30s. No moisture in Texas with either of them. European model isn't in through the 25th yet.


Hey wxman57, you have me wondering if I'm seeing things! haha. I see that the 12z GFS does show precip from 06z on the 25th (rain) changing to snow in the Valley around 12z Christmas morning just west of Brownsville and then it continues to snow all the way through 18z the following day (26th). I give you a nickel if that actually happens, lol.

I give up on the models right now which is why I haven't posted. I'll check back in on Thursday.
Attachments
brownsville snow.png
KHOU BLake
Pro Met
Pro Met
 
Posts: 765
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:03 pm
Location: Spring/Woodlands

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby tireman4 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 2:27 pm

I agree with Blake. HGX has no clue, Srain and Wxman 57 are holding off until Thursday. The maps with color are nice for the holidays though. Woo Hoo
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 1829
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby Texaspirate11 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 3:04 pm

tireman4 wrote:I agree with Blake. HGX has no clue, Srain and Wxman 57 are holding off until Thursday. The maps with color are nice for the holidays though. Woo Hoo


Do not diss our nws. thank you.
i understand the frustration, but really no one really has a handle on it.
Last edited by Texaspirate11 on Mon Dec 18, 2017 3:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
Be Weather Aware & Prepared!
Barbara Jordan Winner in Media
Disability Integration Consultant
User avatar
Texaspirate11
 
Posts: 762
Joined: Tue Dec 31, 2013 1:24 am

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby tireman4 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 3:12 pm

Texaspirate11 wrote:
tireman4 wrote:I agree with Blake. HGX has no clue, Srain and Wxman 57 are holding off until Thursday. The maps with color are nice for the holidays though. Woo Hoo


Do not diss our nws. thank you.

\

I did not "diss" the NWS. Read what they said.... Instead of chasing run-to-
run guesses this far out, the extended fcst (from Saturday and
beyond) was left essentially the same. The set up remains
favorable for a couple of reinforcing shots of colder temps making
their way into the region going into next week. But overall
forecast confidence in timing & specific details hasn`t improved
much, and probably won`t do so for at least a few more days. 47

I did not diss them, nor will I ever. They know FAR more than I do.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 1829
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Postby mcheer23 » Mon Dec 18, 2017 3:44 pm

Models are confused, it'll be an interesting next few days. ;)
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
 
Posts: 188
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 12:15 pm
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land

PreviousNext

Return to Weather Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 1 guest

cron