April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: April 2017 - Quasi Zonal Pattern Active WX Week

Postby DoctorMu » Wed Apr 19, 2017 9:41 am

Looks like another seabreeze today over the area, interacting with unstable air, and reaching College Station in the evening.

Image

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
446 AM CDT Wed Apr 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Keeping a close eye on the large area of showers that developed
offshore overnight and is presently moving toward the Matagorda
Bay/Matagorda coast. Cloud tops have warmed during the last few
hours...but we should see some of this activity make it onshore
shortly. While this particular area of SHRAs is not expected to
persist as it moves further inland, it does underscore the idea
that the airmass over the region is remaining somewhat unstable
(due in large part to the proximity of the main upper low/weak-
ness aloft).Daytime heating/lingering boundaries and progged PW
values AOA 1.7 inches are all supportive of scattered SHRA/TSRA
across SE TX this afternoon.

The building upper ridge from the W/SW tomorrow will help lower
POPS for Thurs...with the seabreeze as the main focus for isol-
ated/widely scattered afternoon storms. As the next upper trof/
low moves into the Central Plains we should see an increasingly
warm/dry mid-level flow develop across the area by Fri. If this
does verify, we could see much more limited activity along/just
ahead of the associated cold front which is slated to move thru
SE TX on Sat. 41
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Re: April 2017 - Quasi Zonal Pattern Active WX Week

Postby Katdaddy » Thu Apr 20, 2017 5:32 am

A slight chance of afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms today and Friday. A 20-30% chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms Saturday ahead of cold front that will drop temps into the 60s and low 70s Saturday afternoon and lows into the upper 40s to low 50s by Sunday morning.
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby Katdaddy » Sat Apr 22, 2017 7:43 am

NTX thunderstorms have dissipated as they moved into SE TX early this morning. A few showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible along the cool front today. A very nice Saturday evening on the way followed by beautiful perfect Sunday weather.
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Sat Apr 22, 2017 11:34 am

Thank God the humidity and nasty hot weather is gone for a few days.
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby mckinne63 » Sun Apr 23, 2017 10:07 am

What a gorgeous weather day in SE Texas. I can't remember the last time I was able to open the windows and feel the lovely breeze blowing through the house.
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby djmike » Sun Apr 23, 2017 8:35 pm

Any upcoming severe events in the near future? Just curious. Thanks
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby jasons » Sun Apr 23, 2017 9:48 pm

What an absolutely gorgeous weekend! That was probably it until October...
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Re: April 2017 - Saturday Cool Front/Pleasant WX Ahead

Postby tireman4 » Mon Apr 24, 2017 12:00 pm

djmike wrote:Any upcoming severe events in the near future? Just curious. Thanks


Well since you mentioned it..there is this. Now, Srain, Andrew, Wxman 57 and other pro mets can further extrapolate this but...

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice
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Re: April 2017 - Warmer Weather Returns To End April

Postby Katdaddy » Tue Apr 25, 2017 6:05 am

A partly sunny warm day ahead for SE TX. There will not be much of cool down behind tomorrow's cool front. A few showers and a thunderstorm may be possible along the front but more significant storms will be well NE of Houston metro from ETX across the ARKLATEX and into the lower to mid MS Valley.
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Re: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Apr 25, 2017 8:41 am

BP MS 150 Bike Ride is this Saturday and Sunday as we end April. Looks like a front will push across the Hill Country Saturday evening and advance to the Coast during the day on Sunday. The current 48 Hour Quantitative Precipitation Forecast suggests a chance of some heavy training rainfall Saturday afternoon as the riders near La Grange. Sunday looks a bit drier behind the front, if it pushes all the way to the Coast. We will see.
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