November 2016 -will cooler temps prevail along with rain

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Re: November 2016 -will cooler temps prevail along with rain

Postby Katdaddy » Wed Nov 30, 2016 6:50 am

Beautiful sunny skies across SE TX today and tomorrow with highs in the upper 60s and lows in mid to upper 40s. A wet and cool weekend ahead with the potential for heavy rains along the Upper TX Coast.

From this morning's Hou-Gal AFD:

Main issue with the forecast looks to be the active/wet weather
progged for this weekend. As the surface high moves east of the
area, low-level moisture to return rapidly across the CWFA (via
strong onshore winds) on Friday. And combined with disturbances
(via the increasingly SW flow aloft in response to the deep up-
per low/trof out west), elevated rain chances will likely begin
Friday and persist through Sunday. These rains could be further
enhanced by the development and approach of a coastal trof from
the lower/middle TX coast. PWs associated with this system have
ranged from 1.7"-2.0" just along/off the coast and depending on
its track, could have impacts for inland portions of SE TX this
weekend. While models have been in slightly better agreement in
regard to development/strength of the main upper low/trof there
are still some differences with timing. At any rate...not going
with a lot of changes with the wet/cool forecast for this week-
end already in the grids. Stay tuned for a possible bear watch.
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Re: November 2016 -will cooler temps prevail along with rain

Postby unome » Wed Nov 30, 2016 8:07 am

Katdaddy wrote:Beautiful sunny skies across SE TX today and tomorrow with highs in the upper 60s and lows in mid to upper 40s. A wet and cool weekend ahead with the potential for heavy rains along the Upper TX Coast.

From this morning's Hou-Gal AFD:

Main issue with the forecast looks to be the active/wet weather
progged for this weekend. As the surface high moves east of the
area, low-level moisture to return rapidly across the CWFA (via
strong onshore winds) on Friday. And combined with disturbances
(via the increasingly SW flow aloft in response to the deep up-
per low/trof out west), elevated rain chances will likely begin
Friday and persist through Sunday. These rains could be further
enhanced by the development and approach of a coastal trof from
the lower/middle TX coast. PWs associated with this system have
ranged from 1.7"-2.0" just along/off the coast and depending on
its track, could have impacts for inland portions of SE TX this
weekend. While models have been in slightly better agreement in
regard to development/strength of the main upper low/trof there
are still some differences with timing. At any rate...not going
with a lot of changes with the wet/cool forecast for this week-
end already in the grids. Stay tuned for a possible bear watch.


love that, have to think that yonder down the road in Klein, Lyle approves ;) https://youtu.be/g6rgWXPNdQE

will be some beautifull weather before the weekend to get any outside chores done !
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Re: November 2016 -will cooler temps prevail along with rain

Postby tireman4 » Wed Nov 30, 2016 1:17 pm

00
FXUS64 KHGX 301739
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1139 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR through the period. Gusty north winds will die out through the
afternoon as high pressure builds in from the west. A dry resident
air mass will maintain mostly clear skies with no mentionable threat
for Thursday morning fog/low clouds. Light morning winds will awake
from the east and slowly veer southeast through Thursday afternoon.
31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1113 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
High pressure over West Texas will build to the east this
afternoon and the tight pressure gradient along the coast will
continue to weaken. Sustained winds are less than 25 mph and the
Wind Advisory previously in effect has been cancelled. It will
remain breezy and winds are expected to subside later this
afternoon as the surface high nudges closer to SE TX. Skies have
generally cleared over all of the area and sunshine is expected
for the rest of the day. Temps are a bit tricky as full sun/heating
will be neutralized by mixing from breezy north winds and cold air
advection. Think the current temp forecast is on track and will
let it ride for now. No other changes planned at this time. 43

&&
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