First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

When will the FIRST freeze at IAH occur from November 2016 to February 2017?

Month of November
5
20%
Dec 1-10
7
28%
Dec 11-20
3
12%
Dec 21-31
4
16%
Jan 1-10
0
No votes
Jan 11-20
3
12%
Jan 21-31
0
No votes
Feb 1-10
1
4%
Feb 11-20
1
4%
Feb 21-28
1
4%
 
Total votes : 25

First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby Ounce » Fri Sep 30, 2016 4:38 pm

At Srain's suggestion, when do you think the first freeze at IAH will be? One guess per person with plenty of options from November 2016 to February 2017. And post your guess as well.

Maybe even the pro mets will step in with their SWAG.

Extra credit for when it will snow at IAH in the same time period, but you'll have to post that.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby wxman57 » Sat Oct 01, 2016 9:37 am

I picked Nov. 20th in our office pool in 2015 and was dead-on. I remember a freeze in October (1991, I think). Had a bike ride that morning and it was dang cold. Typical first freeze is the first week of December. I have a spreadsheet that I use for the office contest that goes back decades. It's useful for identifying trends. I'm going with Dec. 12th at 5:45am.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby DoctorMu » Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:09 pm

IAH: 12/6

CLL: 11/28


Hope I'm wrong, but suspect an early cold snap or two, then not another frost until January.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby Ptarmigan » Sat Oct 01, 2016 3:59 pm

wxman57 wrote:I picked Nov. 20th in our office pool in 2015 and was dead-on. I remember a freeze in October (1991, I think). Had a bike ride that morning and it was dang cold. Typical first freeze is the first week of December. I have a spreadsheet that I use for the office contest that goes back decades. It's useful for identifying trends. I'm going with Dec. 12th at 5:45am.


There was no freezing temperature in October 1991. There were freezing temperature in October 1989 and 1993.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby A.V. » Sat Oct 08, 2016 11:42 pm

Frostless. Hobby only went down to the 34F last winter. Perfection.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby Cromagnum » Tue Oct 11, 2016 6:20 pm

Im betting on no freeze this year again. I sure hope we dont have another Christmas in the 80s with near 100% humidity though.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby Ounce » Wed Oct 12, 2016 2:40 pm

Sorry for not including a 'nah-gonna-happen' option. Guess that would defeat the purpose of the title of the thread. :D

I picked the Jan 11-20 period because I want it to be cold (and dry) when I run the marathon. Cloudy, calm, and 40 or clear, 5-10 mph wind, and 27 would be my best desire for the start of the race.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby Ounce » Thu Dec 01, 2016 10:41 pm

As of this writing, 3 people picked Dec 1-10 and 2 have picked Dec 11-20. Those that haven't voted can look golden by picking the right day.
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby BlueJay » Fri Dec 02, 2016 7:17 am

December 9, 2016
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Re: First Freeze of the ~Winter of 2016

Postby tireman4 » Fri Dec 02, 2016 9:11 am

I am with Blue Jay, December 9th
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