April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby Katdaddy » Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:36 am

Be very glad the CAP held over much of SE TX the last 20 hours and we did not have severe weather and flooding rains. NE portions of SE TX had 1-4" overnight. This morning's outflow boundary had a nice shelf cloud followed by some light rain and sunshine. Flash Flood Watch and Severe Thunderstorm Watch to be dropped for SE TX shortly. Only some widely scattered thunderstorms possible this afternoon along the front so a nice day overall on the way before the potential for more heavy rains late this weekend into early next week
Attachments
Screen Shot 2016-04-30 at 10.32.00 AM.png
Screen Shot 2016-04-30 at 10.31.53 AM.png
Screen Shot 2016-04-30 at 10.31.33 AM.png
Screen Shot 2016-04-30 at 10.31.33 AM.png (273.21 KiB) Viewed 2098 times
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
 
Posts: 1826
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 9:18 am
Location: League City, Tx

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby Heat Miser » Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:40 am

wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday.

That will work. Should be moved way before that time. Just feel for those poor golfers that cancelled their tee times today and those courses that lost all that revenue. :o I'll bet there's some mad scrambling going on now, pardon the pun.
User avatar
Heat Miser
 
Posts: 227
Joined: Wed Nov 27, 2013 1:48 pm
Location: FM 528 @ I45 border of League City, Webster, Friendswood

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby unome » Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:51 am

WPC's Storm Summary for Central U.S. Heavy Rain and Snow:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/winter_sto ... hive.shtml


and the more I visit it, the more I like their new, experimental "home page" http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/para
unome
 
Posts: 2381
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 7:11 pm
Location: Cypress

Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

Postby Andrew » Sat Apr 30, 2016 12:08 pm

Large loop, but very cool 1min rapid update from GOES 14 showing the precipitation this morning across the region. Take note of the gravity waves over Louisiana into Arkansas.

https://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/1min/ind ... eight=1200
For All Things Weather Follow www.facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
Andrew
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 2826
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 10:46 pm
Location: North-West Houston

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby houstonia » Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:29 pm

Two simple questions. Please respond in layman terms: how long does the transition from El Niño to La Niña take and how will either the transition or La Niña Impact us for hurricane season?

srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.
houstonia
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Sun Jun 14, 2015 6:51 pm
Location: Houston, Texas (Southwest side; Sharpstown)

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby ticka1 » Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:37 pm

houstonia wrote:Two simple questions. Please respond in layman terms: how long does the transition from El Niño to La Niña take and how will either the transition or La Niña Impact us for hurricane season?

srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.


great questions houstonia
ticka1
 
Posts: 1264
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:02 pm
Location: Baytown/Mont Belvieu

Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

Postby srainhoutx » Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:53 pm

That is a great question and in the coming days we will have a Topic covering what we may expect this Hurricane Season and why this time of transitioning Global patterns is potentially important to our backyard in the Western Caribbean and the Gulf. I hope that wxman57 will opine his thoughts as well. Stay tuned for that Topic. I will post it on the Main Page of the Forum and pin it.
Attachments
04282016 SST anomnight_4_28_2016.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17808
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

Postby houstonia » Sat Apr 30, 2016 4:37 pm

Thank you srainhoutx!
houstonia
 
Posts: 138
Joined: Sun Jun 14, 2015 6:51 pm
Location: Houston, Texas (Southwest side; Sharpstown)

Re: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather

Postby Ounce » Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:33 pm

I think the mets, almost mets, and wannabe mets on this Board do a great job keeping us up to date. Sometimes, it doesn't go as it's forecasted, but that doesn't mean they were wrong as Mother Nature had her own plans and chose not to share.
Ounce
 
Posts: 359
Joined: Sat Apr 17, 2010 10:18 pm
Location: Houston

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

Postby DoctorMu » Sun May 01, 2016 11:50 am

srainhoutx wrote:
wxman57 wrote:The GFS suggests that the rain threat is only beginning. It has a weak boundary across Houston through Tuesday. There's definitely a potential for heavy rain tomorrow afternoon/evening into Tuesday Let it serve as a reminder that we are in a transitioning period from El Nino to La Nina when we typically see the potential for continued storminess. In fact the overnight Euro and GFS Ensembles advertise the first 10 to 15 days of May could be rather unsettled with more storm systems diving out of the Gulf of Alaska and the continuation of a Western Trough.



We won't be able to get away with disintegrating fronts in the Gulf like late last summer.
User avatar
DoctorMu
 
Posts: 1285
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station

Previous

Return to Weather Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest