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November 2015: Ending Cold & Rainy

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

November 2015: Ending Cold & Rainy

Postby ticka1 » Sun Oct 25, 2015 11:53 am

Will we continue to see more rain? and when we will have our first Cold Front
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby BlueJay » Sun Oct 25, 2015 4:00 pm

And what will the Thanksgiving day and weekend forecast look like...?
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby ticka1 » Sun Oct 25, 2015 7:28 pm

i just want that first blue norther through here! Tired of ths warm qnd humid weather!
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby sambucol » Sun Oct 25, 2015 7:39 pm

ticka1 wrote:i just want that first blue norther through here! Tired of ths warm qnd humid weather!

Me, too!!
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby srainhoutx » Mon Oct 26, 2015 1:48 pm

Looks like a repeating pattern of Western cutoff lows embedded within a Western trough and a SE Ridge persists into early November. That typically spells unsettled weather with the possibility of severe episodes with stalling frontal boundaries, abundant tropical moisture feeding off the Gulf and Eastern Pacific. Still no sign of that first true Fall 'Blue Norther' on the horizon.
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Oct 29, 2015 2:12 pm

The Updated Climate Prediction Center for Day 8+ suggest warm and unsettle weather will persist into early November.
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10292015 CPC Analogs  610analog_off.gif
10292015 CPC Day 8+ 610temp_new.gif
10292015 CPC Day 8+ 610prcp_new.gif
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Oct 29, 2015 9:18 pm

srainhoutx wrote:The Updated Climate Prediction Center for Day 8+ suggest warm and unsettle weather will persist into early November.


Some of the analog dates are interesting like in 2003 and 2004. Both had severe weather that time. 2004 had flooding in which Wharton saw 19 inches of rain! :shock: :o
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby snowman65 » Fri Oct 30, 2015 7:37 am

Got a feeling this winter is going to be hideously deplorable for those wanting cold weather.....and it's already starting...
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Fri Oct 30, 2015 7:49 am

Don't think so... this Winter is predicted to be colder than normal. It looks shockingly similary to the 1963 Winter which saw record warmth in October, followed by two large snow storms in SE Texas.
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Re: November 2015 Weather Watching

Postby srainhoutx » Fri Oct 30, 2015 3:43 pm

The Climate Prediction Center Experimental Week 3 to 4 Outlook suggests more of the same. Wet and unsettled weather could continue into Thanksgiving.
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10302015 CPC WK34temp.gif
10302015 CPC WK34prcp.gif
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