June: Record June High Temps Across Texas!

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jun 18, 2013 9:09 am

The 11Z HRRR is a bit more hopeful for bringing a bit of relief from the heat today with scattered showers/storms developing along colliding boundaries to the N and the seabreeze to the S.
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 18, 2013 9:39 am

It was quite hot up in Alaska. They had record highs.

NOAK48 PAFC 180614 AAA
PNSAFC

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1010 PM AKDT MON JUN 17 2013

...ALL TIME RECORD HIGHS FALL AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA...

A EXPANSIVE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA IS CONTINUING
THE STRING OF UNUSUALLY HOT DAYS. TEMPERATURES AT MANY LOCATIONS WERE
IN THE 80S TO MID 90S.

THE FOLLOWING STATIONS SET ALL-TIME HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS TODAY:

TALKEETNA....96 DEGREES. PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 91 SET ON JUNE 16
2013...JUNE 14 1969...AND JUNE 26 1953.
CORDOVA......90 DEGREES. PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 89 SET ON JULY 16 1995.
VALDEZ.......90 DEGREES. PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 87 SET ON JUNE 26 1953
AND JUNE 25 1953.
SEWARD.......88 DEGREES. PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 87 SET ON JULY 4 1999.


THE VALDEZ TEMPERATURE WAS RECORDED IN THE CITY OF VALDEZ. THE HIGH
TEMPERATURE AT THE AIRPORT WAS 84 DEGREES.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL ON TUESDAY BUT WILL BE COOLER
THAN TODAY. THE COOLING TREND WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.

MORE CLIMATE INFORMATION FOR SELECT SITES IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA MAY
BE FOUND AT PAFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/CLIMATE.PHP

...UPDATE OF TALKEETNA HIGH TEMPERATURE...


$$
SNIDER/LUDWIG

http://pafc.arh.noaa.gov/pubfcst.php?fcst=NOAK48PAFC
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby Portastorm » Tue Jun 18, 2013 10:23 am

Nice little mesoscale system which formed last night out in west Texas rolled through the Austin metro area early this morning, around dawn. Rainfall totals anywhere from a tenth of an inch to almost an inch of rain. Always nice to have that 20% chance of rain verify in mid June. ;)
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jun 18, 2013 1:37 pm

The MCV (mesoscale convective vortex) currently near the Dallas/FT Worth area is slowly spinning and moving to the E in a zonal flow. Storms are beginning to take shape from NW of the Austin area on SE toward SE Texas and eastern Louisiana. The outflow boundary from last night storms that moved through Central Texas early this morning is now located along our Coastal Counties. As the seabreeze begins to move inland look for increasing storms chances from the College Station area on S toward Matagorda Bay and further E.

Image

The 12Z suite of guidance is indicating a upper trough/low will traverse the Gulf next week from E to W increasing our chances of rain once again. The upper ridge that has been in place appears to shift W allowing for deep tropical moisture to pool and move NW from the Caribbean. In the longer range, the global and ensemble guidance paint an unsettled pattern with generally lower pressures across the Western Gulf and the potential for some tropical mischief as we near the early July timeframe.
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jun 18, 2013 3:25 pm

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
317 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

TXZ164-177>179-199-200-182115-
TRINITY TX-POLK TX-WALKER TX-LIBERTY TX-SAN JACINTO TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
317 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TRINITY...POLK...
SOUTHEASTERN WALKER...NORTHERN LIBERTY...SAN JACINTO AND CENTRAL
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 313 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE DAVY CROCKETT NATIONAL
FOREST AREA TO NORTH OF THE WILLIS AREA...AND MOVING EAST AT
AROUND 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CONROE...CLEVELAND...LIVINGSTON...WILLIS...PANORAMA VILLAGE...
SHEPHERD...CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CUT AND SHOOT...NEW WAVERLY...
COLDSPRING...MONTGOMERY...POINT BLANK...NORTH CLEVELAND...GOODRICH
AND SEVEN OAKS.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby jasons » Tue Jun 18, 2013 5:03 pm

It's been a little frustrating. Cells keep wanting to form over my house, but they move off to the north east before they get going. Been watching the storms move-in from the west/NW hoping for more action there.

Both complexes have now spit out outflows, and they are both about to collide right over me along the I-45 corridor. This *should* mean an explosion of new storms just to my west...but as history shows, it may mean I'm just going to get skipped by antoher broken line. We'll see...
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby jasons » Tue Jun 18, 2013 5:12 pm

Looks like Central & Southern Harris is getting some new cells. Storms that were moving-in from the NW are falling apart. Why do I get this sinking feeling there will be another void of nothing in SC Montgomery county & NC Harris? It's like the area bounded by IAH, Hooks, and Conroe Airport is no-man's land - inside that little triangle is a desert of drought.
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jun 18, 2013 5:28 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Liberty County
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby jasons » Tue Jun 18, 2013 5:42 pm

As expected, not a drop here. I feel your pain, Ed. Seems like an endless cycle...and going-on for years now. It has not been "normal" in my neighborhood since hurricane Rita.

I think I may need a new hobby. This one is just causing stress.
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Re: June - Isolated Showers/Storms/Watching The Western Gulf

Postby jasons » Tue Jun 18, 2013 6:48 pm

Yeah, I don't get it. I can see how it can miss for a good stretch, even for an extended period in some funky pattern. Or, if I lived somewhere next to a mountain range that threw things off. What I don't get is how this little area of Houston keeps getting missed time after time, month after month, year after year, even when patterns change. They say everything evens out over time, but I'm having my doubts.

This drought is like sitting at a craps table and rolling snake eyes all day long. Statistically, it just isn't supposed to be possible. Yet for some unexplained reason, like magic, it just does.
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