ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: ENSO Updates

Postby stormlover » Tue May 15, 2018 7:20 am

what does all regions warmed mean?
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby srainhoutx » Tue May 15, 2018 8:10 am

stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?


Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby stormlover » Tue May 15, 2018 8:39 am

thank you
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Fri May 18, 2018 10:08 am

srainhoutx wrote:
stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?


Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.


Modoki Nino's tend to be fairly generous to our area during our favorite time of the year... WINTER!

Typically cool and wet.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Sun May 20, 2018 11:36 am

srainhoutx wrote:
stormlover wrote:what does all regions warmed mean?


Note the warming is generally very slow across all Regions. For those anxious to call for El Nino by peak Hurricane Season, I believe a neutral ENSO state seems more likely. That said we may see a more Central Pacific based El Nino Modoki by Winter. Time will tell.


When there is a Modoki El Nino, the winters tend to be colder. 1904-1905, 1911-1912, 1963-1964, 1976-1977, 1977-1978,and 2009-2010 were Modoki El Nino with cold winters.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon May 21, 2018 7:11 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 has warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remains the same. Region 3 cooled.
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