ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Nov 21, 2016 10:47 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.4ºC
Niño 3 -0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

Region 1+2 cooled. All regions warmed.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Nov 28, 2016 10:33 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.4ºC
Niño 3 -0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

Region 1+2 cooled, while all regions remain the same from last week.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 05, 2016 11:19 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.4ºC
Niño 3 -0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

Region 1+2 and 4 warmed. Region 3 cooled, while Region 3.4 remains the same.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 12, 2016 10:40 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.6ºC
Niño 3 -0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 0.3ºC

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3 and 4 remain the same. Region 3.4 cooled.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 19, 2016 11:54 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.4ºC
Niño 3 -0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3 and 4 are the same. Region 3.4 cooled. Not sure about La Nina.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Tue Dec 20, 2016 12:00 am

Good... Ninas are terrible here!
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Sat Dec 24, 2016 12:01 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Good... Ninas are terrible here!


I do not think we will see La Nina this winter.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 26, 2016 10:50 am

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3.4 -0.3ºC
Niño 3 -0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 0.6ºC

All regions warmed up from last week. La Nina is not looking likely at this point.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 26, 2016 10:53 am

Latest Southern Oscillation Index values
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... tionindex/

Average for last 30 days -20.78
Average for last 90 days -7.88
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -0.36

The SOI is in negative territory which is El Nino.

Past SOI
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seas ... soivalues/

December 23, 2016 has a value of -670.93!

The pressure in Tahiti was 881.29 millibars! That has to be an error.

ENSO Precipitation Index (ESPI)
https://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/trmm_rain/Ev ... y_day.html

Last 30 Days is -1.18
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Dec 26, 2016 10:57 am

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has gone up in November. It is now 1.88.

PDO Index
http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest
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