ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Portastorm » Thu Jul 12, 2012 9:16 am

wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Latest discussion from the Climate Prediction Center says Nino is coming alright. It's now a matter of how strong will it be?

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... sodisc.pdf


How is Lake Travis doing these days? We saw some amazing pics last summer of the lake at very low levels.


Yeah, the incredibly low level of the lake last year was indeed amazing. A person could really get good perspective of it from the air if your flight path took you over the lake.

Last I saw, Travis was sitting at 640 feet. That is actually roughly 10 feet LOWER than last year at this time and 40 feet below the full pool level. The recent rains of this week were mainly I-35 corridor and east which doesn't help Travis all that much.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 16, 2012 6:35 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 0.8ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

Looks like things have cooled down a bit.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 30, 2012 11:30 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.1ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

Things are warming up again. Looks to be this El Nino is going to be more of an eastern type, unlike the last El Nino of 2009-2010, which was El Nino Modoki.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Aug 01, 2012 7:59 am

How does that affect Houston?
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 06, 2012 8:05 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.1ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 1.0ºC
Niño 1+2 0.7ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

No change in Region 3.4. Cooling in Region 1+2 and 3. However, Region 4 is warming up.

June July MEI value is 1.139.

Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI)
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/enso/mei/table.html
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 13, 2012 11:43 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.8ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC

Region 3 and 3.4 are heating up. Region 1+2 is not neutral. Earlier this year, Region 1+2 was warm. Per

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2012 7:11 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 27, 2012 8:59 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Sep 04, 2012 4:01 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.9ºC
Niño 3 0.7ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.2ºC

Region 3, 3.4, and 4 are warming up, while 1+2 are cooling.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Sep 17, 2012 9:29 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.5ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.5ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
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