ENSO Updates

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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 11, 2012 9:46 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.1ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.9ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 18, 2012 9:30 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.1ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf


SOI is dropping into negative territory.

SOI values for 18 Jun 2012Average for last 30 days -7.4
Average for last 90 days -4.2
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -15.0

Monthly average SOI values
March 2.3
April -6.2
May -2.4

http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seaso ... /index.php

The Equatorial East Pacific is warming up.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 25, 2012 9:48 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 1.7ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 -0.2ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Tue Jun 26, 2012 7:46 am

Here comes El Nino!
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Portastorm » Thu Jul 05, 2012 10:57 am

Latest discussion from the Climate Prediction Center says Nino is coming alright. It's now a matter of how strong will it be?

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... sodisc.pdf
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Jul 05, 2012 11:17 am

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.9ºC
Niño 1+2 1.5ºC

Last Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.0ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.8ºC
Niño 1+2 1.7ºC

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf

Looks like we are heading towards El Nino.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Jul 08, 2012 8:05 pm

Two Types of El Nino Events: Cold Tongue El Nino and Warm Pool El Nino
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10. ... JCLI2624.1

There are different kinds of El Ninos/La Ninas. They are not all the same.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Mon Jul 09, 2012 9:08 am

Should be interesting to see if we get a CT El Nino this year. Those typically bring the harshest Winters.

1972-73
1982-83
1997-98
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Tue Jul 10, 2012 2:38 pm

Interesting..... I thought I might draw a correlation between those values, the type of Winter HGX had and the type of El Nino, but I'm not seeing much.

With the PDO tanking this year and El Nino, I was thinking we might see a repeat of one of these.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby wxman57 » Tue Jul 10, 2012 2:46 pm

Portastorm wrote:Latest discussion from the Climate Prediction Center says Nino is coming alright. It's now a matter of how strong will it be?

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... sodisc.pdf


How is Lake Travis doing these days? We saw some amazing pics last summer of the lake at very low levels.
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