ENSO Updates

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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon May 15, 2017 10:31 pm

This ECMWF is trending towards El Nino.

Image

It also has a Modoki El Nino by July, August, and September.

Image
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby MontgomeryCoWx » Tue May 16, 2017 5:17 pm

Are Modoki's kind to us in Fall/Winter?
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby srainhoutx » Tue May 16, 2017 7:37 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Are Modoki's kind to us in Fall/Winter?


They can be....if you like cold and stormy. Let's see what actually develops in the months ahead. We have to get beyond Hurricane Season before realistically looking ahead to next Fall and Winter.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Ike

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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon May 22, 2017 9:29 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:Are Modoki's kind to us in Fall/Winter?


Too early to tell at this point.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon May 22, 2017 9:42 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 1.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2, 3, and 4 warmed. Region 3.4 cooled.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon May 29, 2017 9:53 am

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.3ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.6ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 crashed, while Region 3 and 3.4 warmed. Region 4 is unchanged.

Region 1+2 is volatile in nature as it is off the coast of South America.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 05, 2017 11:02 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.5ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2,3, and 4 cooled. Region 3.4 is the same.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 05, 2017 11:25 pm

CPC has El Nino by August. Too early to tell of course.

August 2017
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September 2017
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 12, 2017 10:18 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.4ºC
Niño 3 0.3ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.1ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 cooled. Region 4 warmed.
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Re: ENSO Updates

Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jun 19, 2017 9:40 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.5ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2, 3.4 and 4 warmed. Region 3 cooled.
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