July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: July 2018 4th Of July Outlook/Wet Week Ahead

Postby unome » Sun Jul 15, 2018 3:47 pm

unome wrote:in other, happy news - WPC will soon have a secure website - yay !

Please note: On July 10, 2018, WPC's web site will switch from the "http" protocol to the more secure "https" protocol. Please consider changing any bookmarked pages at that time. We will provide an update if there is a delay in this transition.


looks like it's delayed? haven't seen any news on it, still using http
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby unome » Sun Jul 15, 2018 3:50 pm

3rd time's a charm? getting close, we'll see if it makes it here, though

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/in ... X-N0Q-1-48
https://atmo.tamu.edu/ciams/lma/network_loop.html

update: no dice :(
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby Katdaddy » Sun Jul 15, 2018 8:34 pm

Screen Shot 2018-07-15 at 5.35.56 PM.png
An awesome Upper TX Coast tropical sky photo. God Bless everyone!
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby tireman4 » Tue Jul 17, 2018 1:41 pm

High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby DoctorMu » Tue Jul 17, 2018 1:59 pm

tireman4 wrote:High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!

THAT is frightening. Potential relief near the end of the month in the models. Fingers crossed.
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby unome » Tue Jul 17, 2018 2:24 pm

yeah, not my kind of weather :(

https://twitter.com/NWSHouston

Hot until further notice

but then, it is late July in SE TX, so I guess we need to take the good with the bad

stay hydrated, peeps !
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Re: July 2018: Saharan Dust & Hot Weather Continue

Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jul 17, 2018 5:02 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
tireman4 wrote:High Pressure Ridge of Death From Brooks!!

THAT is frightening. Potential relief near the end of the month in the models. Fingers crossed.


The Ensembles suggest if we can get through the next week to 10 days, that pattern shifts the Heat Ridge further to the West with a weakness between our Upper Ridge currently centered over Texas and the Bermuda Ridge to the East. As I mentioned in the August Topic, bigger changes in the Hemispheric Pattern may be lurking as a very wet phase of the MJO arrives as well as the strongest CCKW of the season approach from the Pacific Ocean.
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Re: July 2018: Heat Advisories Possible/Rain Returns Next We

Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jul 18, 2018 3:01 pm

A short fuse Heat Advisory may be coming shortly as IAH currently has a heat Index of 107F. Heat Advisories seem likely for Saturday through Monday as Heat Indices are expected to reach the 110F to 112F Range. Be careful out there and stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in the A/C if possible.

I continue to see changes brewing next week as the Upper Heat Ridge is nudged WNW as a trough deepens over the Eastern half of the United States. Rain chances look to increase East to West beginning Tuesday as a weakness between the retreating Ridge over Texas shifts to the Great Basin and the strong Bermuda Ridge remains anchored off the East Coast.

Looking at the latest forecasts for the next several surges of Saharan Dust, the mid level flow appears to keep the bulk of the dust tracking West into Mexico into the weekend and next week.
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Re: July 2018: Heat Advisories Possible/Rain Returns Next We

Postby tireman4 » Thu Jul 19, 2018 9:16 am

Well, be careful out there. Unfortunately, I have to work outside in the Sun ( my third job is a swimming ref) Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Oh boy....when is Winter?
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Re: July 2018: Heat Advisories Possible/Rain Returns Next We

Postby srainhoutx » Thu Jul 19, 2018 10:31 am

NWS Houston‏Verified account @NWSHouston · 46m46 minutes ago
As of July 19th, Matagorda County is still under a burn ban. Overall, roughly 14% of the forecast area is experiencing abnormally dry conditions. With little to no rainfall forecast through the middle of next week, there will be the possibility for expanding drought conditions.

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