JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby snowman65 » Fri Jan 12, 2018 4:44 pm

They did have rain/snow showers in our forcast for Tuesday briefly but back to rain only. Im sure it will change a few more times until then...
User avatar
snowman65
 
Posts: 489
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby TexasBreeze » Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:34 pm

Freezing rain is in for Harris County Tuesday NWS. Not a snow forecast for now.
TexasBreeze
 
Posts: 500
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby DoctorMu » Fri Jan 12, 2018 11:56 pm

NOAA suppressed the high down to 34°F on Tuesday. Wintry mix expected in CLL.

HGX
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 336 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A dry, but cold weekend is in store across the region. Most inland
locations will see freezing overnight temperatures tonight and
Saturday night. A few areas northeast of a Burleson-Cleveland line
may see readings briefly dip to around 24 degrees tonight. We`re
not planning to issue a hard freeze warning at the moment, but
will let the next shift reevaluate the trends.

Winds gradually veer to an onshore direction on Sunday...allowing
for a return of moisture to the region through the day Monday
ahead of an Arctic front that`ll be diving southward through the
Plains.

Models are in fairly good agreement bringing the frontal boundary,
and associated precipitation ahead of and behind it, into
southeast Texas late Monday night and Tuesday. It`s still too
early to accurately predict the thermal profile at the surface and
aloft that far out
, but chances are that portions of the area may
see precip transition from liquid to frozen at some point as
temperatures fall through the day. Expect changes to the forecast
as time gets closer, details become more clear (hopefully), and
forecast confidence improves.

Precip should come to an end Tuesday evening. Cold temperatures will
linger through the midweek time period, followed by gradual moderating
trend going into the weekend as onshore winds resume. 47
User avatar
DoctorMu
 
Posts: 1286
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby unome » Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:24 am

currently sitting at 34, 6 degrees higher than point forecast, but dewpoint is 20 so I expect that to fall

executive airport looks much colder than surrounding area, not sure that'c correct?

love the GOES16 WV Loop at this site
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php? ... =0&limit=1
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KCFD
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KTME
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KDWH
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KIAH
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=KHOU
unome
 
Posts: 2381
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 7:11 pm
Location: Cypress

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby snowman65 » Sat Jan 13, 2018 9:31 am

Is it just me or is this system just not drawing near the attention as the last system a few weeks ago? Doesnt seem to be much interest. I figure the room would be hopping.
Last edited by snowman65 on Sat Jan 13, 2018 11:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
snowman65
 
Posts: 489
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby BlueJay » Sat Jan 13, 2018 9:33 am

Our fingers are frozen....
BlueJay
 
Posts: 734
Joined: Tue Mar 04, 2014 11:47 am
Location: Alden Bridge-The Woodlands, Texas

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby KHOU BLake » Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:14 pm

12z Euro is coming in. Continues trend of backing off the frozen precip. It still shows a chance of some very light -P but overall pretty underwhelming. Looks like the dry air will be difficult to overcome.
KHOU BLake
Pro Met
Pro Met
 
Posts: 765
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 8:03 pm
Location: Spring/Woodlands

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby don » Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:44 pm

Starting to think the second system on Thursday may be more impactful than the Tuesday storm, the Euro shows an ice storm for central and southeast Texas including the Austin and Houston area's, the 12z Canadian and GFS also hinted at this...
User avatar
don
 
Posts: 350
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 4:33 pm
Location: Houston,TX

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby stormlover » Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:48 pm

Image ?
stormlover
 
Posts: 251
Joined: Wed Dec 04, 2013 11:21 am

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Cold Weekend/Stronger Front Tuesday

Postby srainhoutx » Sat Jan 13, 2018 3:13 pm

The afternoon Updated Day 3 QPF output suggests possibly a .10th of inch of liquid on Tuesday. The Afternoon WPC Freezing Rain map for Tuesday shows the greatest threat across the Hill Country and N and E with very slight chances further S into SE Texas and Houston Metro.
Attachments
01142018 1745Z Day 3 QPF fill_99qwbg.gif
01132018 19Z Day 3 ZR prb_24hicez_ge_01_2018011400f072.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/TxWeatherBoard
Twitter @TxWeatherBoard
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17808
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 3:32 pm
Location: NW Houston FM 1960/SH 6

PreviousNext

Return to Weather Forum

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 1 guest