August 2017: Hurricane Harvey Final Report Issued

General Weather Discussions and Analysis

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby mckinne63 » Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:48 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
mckinne63 wrote:
DoctorMu wrote:Yeah, the Center of circulation has inched southward and is just west of Victoria, and some dry air is being drawn in. Note on the water vapor imagery that the heavy moisture-laden clouds are shifting east towards Louisiana.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/dml/comp/goes/ceus/wv.html


I am assuming that is good news? Will give us a chance to dry out? Will the storm dump as much rain as we have seen here if it does march east?

Did you hear from your family in West Houston?


Water stayed out of the house. The area around Gaessner got hammered, but pales in comparison with League City, etc.


My heart breaks for so many.
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby CAK » Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:49 pm

Tornado watch for Kingwood. heads up.
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby srainhoutx » Sun Aug 27, 2017 12:50 pm

Tornado Watch just extended until 2 AM CDT
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby djmike » Sun Aug 27, 2017 1:18 pm

Catastrophic flooding happening in Beaumont today too. ALready 15" in my backyard. City is shutdown and urging everyone today to stay home! Many high water rescues still being performed. Unfortunately in beaumont we dont have the huge bayous and massive drainage ditches that houston has and it has taken nothing for what we do have to flow out of their banks! Continues live coverage on KFDM nees here and the latest information. Unfortunately harveys new track will only inundate us and houston possibly for the next 3 nights. Really frustrated as my neighborhood is under water but these folks joy riding and making waves and hit my house! Please be considerate if you must get out and take it slow. God be with all of us and keep our beautiful setx safe.
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby Ounce » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:00 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
mckinne63 wrote:
DoctorMu wrote:Yeah, the Center of circulation has inched southward and is just west of Victoria, and some dry air is being drawn in. Note on the water vapor imagery that the heavy moisture-laden clouds are shifting east towards Louisiana.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/dml/comp/goes/ceus/wv.html


I am assuming that is good news? Will give us a chance to dry out? Will the storm dump as much rain as we have seen here if it does march east?

Did you hear from your family in West Houston?


Water stayed out of the house. The area around Gaessner got hammered, but pales in comparison with League City, etc.

Buffalo Bayou and Beltway 8 (1 mile west of Gessner) is 7 feet above flood stage and has been since midnight. That sensor has received 17 inches since 8 p.m. Saturday night
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby wxman57 » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:15 pm

Another feeder band moving into west Houston now - not as strong as previous bands. High-res HRRR model which predicted the 18+ inches in Houston last night intensifies this feeder band across east Houston by 10pm and moves it east into the Beaumont/Port Arthur area by midnight. Might not be too bad here tonight.

My forecast takes the center of Harvey across Houston on Wednesday (as a TD), by the way...
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby stormlover » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:19 pm

How much rain is it showing for Beaumont area ?
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby jasons » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:24 pm

wxman57 wrote:Another feeder band moving into west Houston now - not as strong as previous bands. High-res HRRR model which predicted the 18+ inches in Houston last night intensifies this feeder band across east Houston by 10pm and moves it east into the Beaumont/Port Arthur area by midnight. Might not be too bad here tonight.

My forecast takes the center of Harvey across Houston on Wednesday (as a TD), by the way...


I'm concerned tonight will be a repeat. I'm watching the CAPE increase with the warm air out in the gulf, feeding into SE Texas. Once we hit nighttime again, that air is going to cool and those bands will just dump again like a ringer.
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby djmike » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:38 pm

ALl rainfall gauges in beaumont show 18-20" since yesterday. Bulk was overnight. Another 15"+ is forecasted for tonight once the sun goes down and the night cools. The cloud tops will explode. If ur in the beaumont golden triangle area, extreme caution is urged and if possible make arrangements now for a possible 15" more! Per KFDM BEAUMONT!!
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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Postby wxman57 » Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:39 pm

jasons wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Another feeder band moving into west Houston now - not as strong as previous bands. High-res HRRR model which predicted the 18+ inches in Houston last night intensifies this feeder band across east Houston by 10pm and moves it east into the Beaumont/Port Arthur area by midnight. Might not be too bad here tonight.

My forecast takes the center of Harvey across Houston on Wednesday (as a TD), by the way...


I'm concerned tonight will be a repeat. I'm watching the CAPE increase with the warm air out in the gulf, feeding into SE Texas. Once we hit nighttime again, that air is going to cool and those bands will just dump again like a ringer.


It may be a repeat, but farther east.
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