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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

10092018 mcd0954.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0954 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 936 AM EDT Tue Oct 09 2018 Areas affected...Central Texas Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 091336Z - 091800Z Summary...Several lines of thunderstorms tracking throug...
by srainhoutx
Tue Oct 09, 2018 8:55 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Tuesday morning Hurricane Michael briefing from Jeff: Major hurricane landfall likely along the FL panhandle in the next 30 hours. Severe and widespread storm surge event likely across Apalachee Bay (Big Bend area) and FL panhandle Discussion: Multiple aircraft are in Michael this morning and both i...
by srainhoutx
Tue Oct 09, 2018 8:34 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

The upper trough and a potent shortwave over New Mexico continue to advance E today. Very heavy rainfall with strong to possibly severe storms will continue to spread toward SE and East Texas into the afternoon/evening. Those neighbors to our West in S Central, Central and N Texas will need to be we...
by srainhoutx
Tue Oct 09, 2018 7:23 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Monday afternoon local weather briefing from Jeff: Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for the middle and upper TX coast into Wednesday. Combination of typical early Fall high tides and the arrival of large long period swells from Hurricane Michael over the SE Gulf of Mexico will result in elevat...
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:51 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Hurricane Michael still expected to be a Major Category 3 Cyclone at Landfall and Hurricane Warnings as well as Storm Surge Warnings have been hoisted with the latest full package Advisory... HURRICANE MICHAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 400 PM CDT MON OCT 08 ...
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:46 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

The afternoon Updated Climate Prediction Center temperature Outlook that extends into the weekend after next suggests below normal temperatures are possible across our Region.
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 2:24 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Michael is now a Hurricane. Michael is expected to reach Major Hurricane status before landfall... HURRICANE MICHAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 1100 AM EDT MON OCT 08 2018 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF MICHAEL HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNI...
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 9:54 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Monday morning briefing from Jeff for TS Michael: Significant hurricane event increasingly likely for the FL panhandle Hurricane Watches are issued from the Alabama/Florida state line to the Suwannee River, FL Storm Surge Watch is issued from Tampa Bay to Navarre Beach, FL including all of Tampa Bay...
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 8:55 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

Sergio is well out in the Eastern Pacific almost half way between Mexico and Hawaii. The moisture plume and flooding rain across the Plains into the Great Lakes is a combination of much drier and cooler air to the West over the Great Basin and very deep tropical moisture streaming out of the Gulf an...
by srainhoutx
Mon Oct 08, 2018 7:13 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

I continue to see a growing consensus that cooler weather is indeed on the way. The first modified front should arrive Wednesday with a much stronger surge of cooler air arriving next weekend. In fact the week of the 15th through the 20th looks more and more like the "typical" Texas Fall C...
by srainhoutx
Sun Oct 07, 2018 2:37 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX
Replies: 226
Views: 17971
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