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Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

I'm thinking that total liquid precip amounts across Houston will not be high, perhaps up to around .25 inch. However, much of this precip may fall when road temperatures on bridges and overpasses are at 32f or colder. This would result in bridges and overpasses getting a glazing of ice by tomorrow ...
by wxman57
Mon Jan 15, 2018 3:39 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 155255

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

From Jeff Lindner at Harris County Flood Control: ***Winter Storm Warning issued for SE TX for Tuesday for areas along and N of I-10*** ***Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for areas south of I-10 to the coast*** Hazardous travel is likely to develop across the region on Tuesday during the d...
by wxman57
Mon Jan 15, 2018 3:24 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 155255

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Time to talk about some real cold?

Overnight Euro certainly does paint a cold and snowy picture for SE TX next Tue/Wed. This time, though, it is forecasting surface temperatures well below freezing during the precip. This could lead to major travel issues Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday - IF it happens. One thing appears certain, it ...
by wxman57
Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:45 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 155255

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Time to talk about some real cold?

GFS and Euro are in much better agreement for the temps across TX early next week. This is not looking like a snow event, but there could be some sleet mixed in with the rain as precip ends up in the DFW area. I wouldn't absolutely rule out any sleet pellets here in Houston, but I wouldn't forecast ...
by wxman57
Wed Dec 27, 2017 7:56 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 155255

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Pattern Change

I just found out that I can plot soundings from the European model on my workstation.

Here's the 00Z Euro Skew-T sounding for IAH on Christmas morning. Relative humidity near zero aloft. Surface temperature about -1C (30F). Cold and dry.

Image
by wxman57
Tue Dec 19, 2017 9:35 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Pattern Change

Temperatures in west and NW Canada are only about 5-8 degrees below normal. That's not very cold. Latest GFS run says no winter precip across Texas through 16 days. I didn't buy that prediction of a 1060-1070mb high coming down without any cold air in northern Canada. Chances of any winter precip he...
by wxman57
Tue Dec 19, 2017 8:21 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Man, the models have gone schizo. 12z reverts back to a fetch of moisture over Texas and snow in Brownsville on Christmas Day :lol: I'm sure that will happen. The 12Z what? GFS and Canadian have no precip and cold temps Christmas day. Canadian has a low in the mid 20s, the GFS a low in the mid 30s....
by wxman57
Mon Dec 18, 2017 12:34 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

Beware when the models (GFS here) keep pushing back the arrival of the winter weather. I always remind everyone to keep a sharp eye on the source region for this cold air. Generally, it comes from near the Pole or over western Canada. Sometimes, the extreme cold lies in Siberia. Cross-Polar flow dri...
by wxman57
Sun Dec 17, 2017 9:08 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

One of our local mets has our high temp here in SE La. at 80 next Friday. You know, that real Christmas type feel to the air. Disgusting..... Might be three hot Christmases in a row.... It won’t One thing this Christmas won't be is hot. Now, temperatures may approach the upper 70s on Thursday, but ...
by wxman57
Fri Dec 15, 2017 10:40 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039

Re: December 2017: Christmas Cold / Ice Across Texas?

jamelyn wrote:My daughter is supposed to drive here from Lubbock in the 22nd. Wondering if she should leave a day early


If it was my daughter, I'd strongly recommend driving on Thursday vs. Friday. She may run into heavy freezing rain in central Texas Friday afternoon.
by wxman57
Fri Dec 15, 2017 10:38 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2017: End Of The Year Weather
Replies: 692
Views: 93039
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