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Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Hi Guys. We still here. Dry and at PBS. Thanks for great work on this forum. We are referencing this for many of our updates.
by brooksgarner
Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:47 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

I just hope it doesn't make people non-reactive when a SERIOUS couplet forms and it's a real, big tornado... It's scary night for folks who don't know this stuff is radar-indicated and could be a funnel cloud. It's obviously impossible to say if a twister is going to be bad, but many of these are wa...
by brooksgarner
Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:47 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

What do you guys think about all these tornado warnings?

Broad-based question... Only one verified damage report of a McD's sign down on Galveston at Broadway and Seawall.

Daylight will probably reveal more damage inland, but ...
by brooksgarner
Fri Aug 25, 2017 9:35 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Andrew wrote:
brooksgarner wrote:Jeesh. That 00z GFS...

Keep in mind that accumulations happen over 3-6 days, but still... rivers/bayous, oh my.



There is also a period where it shows ~8 inches in 6 hours. Obviously that will change but shows that fast accumulations will happen.


Yes. Certainly in the cards!
by brooksgarner
Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:00 am
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Jeesh. That 00z GFS...

Keep in mind that accumulations happen over 3-6 days, but still... rivers/bayous, oh my.
by brooksgarner
Wed Aug 23, 2017 11:50 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Remember, the models are going to be drunk for the next few days... Just expect bad rain and potential wind. Anything else is pure guessing... even with the flights feeding computer models with data, beyond thinking it'll move into the Coastal Bend, there's no way to forecast a loop-the-loop scenari...
by brooksgarner
Wed Aug 23, 2017 6:17 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

00z NAM simulated radar at 7am Friday morning. Little value, just interesting intensity forecast.
by brooksgarner
Wed Aug 23, 2017 12:33 am
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Increasing Rain Chances/Tracking The Tropic

Thanks! (I got to ride on that jet a number of years ago... "Gonzo", and was impressed at the vast instrumentation in that thing. Hard-edge computer racks and lots of science!) It flies high and fast.
by brooksgarner
Tue Aug 22, 2017 12:29 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Increasing Rain Chances/Tracking The Tropic

srainhoutx wrote:
brooksgarner wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:NOAA G-IV will depart Tampa shortly. Here are their drop points all around the Gulf for the Mission.


Thanks Jeff!


Uh...this is Steve... ;)


Multi-tasking! Sorry, Mr. Ayers! -BG
by brooksgarner
Tue Aug 22, 2017 12:20 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988

Re: August 2017: Increasing Rain Chances/Tracking The Tropic

NOAA G-IV will depart Tampa shortly. Here are their drop points all around the Gulf for the Mission. Thanks Steve! Looks like NOAA-49 - Gonzo! - departs this evening around 00z I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71 A. 23/0000Z...
by brooksgarner
Tue Aug 22, 2017 12:15 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1760
Views: 112988
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