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Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

000 ABNT20 KNHC 161746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jun 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a surface trough near the Yucatan Peninsula and an upper-level low o...
by mcheer23
Sat Jun 16, 2018 12:47 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

cperk wrote:
FreeportTX35 wrote:
mcheer23 wrote:Gotta think the NHC will put chances higher than 10 percent with the next update in an hour....

20% chance ya think or higher?


Higher. :)



Personally, I'd go about 30, for now....but I think they'll go 20.
by mcheer23
Sat Jun 16, 2018 12:44 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Gotta think the NHC will put chances higher than 10 percent with the next update in an hour....
by mcheer23
Sat Jun 16, 2018 11:47 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

stormlover wrote:Models have trended just the opposite - away from SE TX and LA with the heavier precip. 12z Euro has most of the precip moving into NE Mexico.

That is from wxman




It all depends on what becomes of this system.
by mcheer23
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:47 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

djmike wrote:So this one could give us some hefty rains Wed - Fri? The gulf system is the rains for Sun-Mon? Am I understanding this right?

This disturbance should reach Texas by late Sunday.
by mcheer23
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:39 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Would not be shocked to see development chances go up.
by mcheer23
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:36 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Rip76 wrote:What?


Secondary tropical wave thats near Cancun right now has a 10 percent chance of development.
by mcheer23
Fri Jun 15, 2018 1:09 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

EURO showing 20 inches of rain around Cuero, Tx.

Heaviest rain in Houston area is in Brazoria and Ft Bend county ...12 inches in spots.
by mcheer23
Thu Jun 14, 2018 1:47 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

NAM, GFS and CMC are all more bullish tonight.
by mcheer23
Wed Jun 13, 2018 11:16 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

NAM is trying to develop 91L ...but then again it's the NAM.
by mcheer23
Wed Jun 13, 2018 10:12 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 421
Views: 31276
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