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Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Concerned on the lack of northward progression the warm front has made. It will likely be the focal point for strongest storms as we go through the day. Mesoscale models have done a poor job simulating the situation so far.
by Andrew
Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:40 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Keep an eye on the Waller cell.

Edit to add it is now tornado warned.
by Andrew
Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:17 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Tornado watch:
by Andrew
Sun Apr 02, 2017 6:08 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

SPC has moved the moderate risk to the Northeast "Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Sun Apr 02 2017 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR EAST TEXAS...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA...AND FAR SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPP...
by Andrew
Sun Apr 02, 2017 1:07 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Going to be interesting to see what the SPC does with the 1 day outlook. Highest ceilings still exist on the southern side of SE Texas and the global models still show development along the I-10 corridor. Looking at the soundings capping doesn't look too extreme so I wonder why little to know develo...
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 11:22 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Ounce wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:GOES 16 has been positioned over Texas and Harris County OEM is being activated. Stay weather aware folks.

That's super cool! (Any way to watch it?)


http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... tx-13-24-0
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:30 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Rip76 wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:GOES 16 has been positioned over Texas and Harris County OEM is being activated. Stay weather aware folks.


I may be reading this wrong.
"Postponed?"



Positioned
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:13 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

Also wanted to point out that HGX discussion does a good job highlighting some different scenarios, especially with the convective allowing models " It looks like SPC added another ring to the bullseye so the day 2 moderate risk for SE Texas really does catch the eye. Let`s be clear...deep mois...
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 5:15 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

What's the timing like to be on the heaviest (strong) tornado threat? Early Sunday will probably be a little more discrete and then as the day progresses thunderstorms will organize more into a line (especially over east Texas and Louisiana). Still too early to say how much of a tornado threat will...
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:34 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756

Re: April 2017 - Weekend Heavy Rainfall/Storms Possible

With a moderate risk issued (including a hatched 45percent region over almost all of SE Texas), models are beginning to come into consensus that all modes of severe weather and flooding will be possible. I will breakdown what I currently see and predict will happen. Flooding Current indications show...
by Andrew
Sat Apr 01, 2017 2:01 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2017 - MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 242
Views: 15756
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