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Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances Increase Late Week

tireman4 wrote:Just a friendly reminder about dewpoints...


Dew points is what we really feel. Some places have high humidity, yet they do not feel humid because they are cooler like the Pacific Northwest.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:35 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.2ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 remains the same. Region 4 cooled.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 17, 2018 7:31 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 596
Views: 191445

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

Unrelated, but the HPC map brought out the infamous ' pink ' color for Florence in the Carolinas. It is going to be a rough one over there! Even if 95L goes to south TX, many times se TX sees northern feeder bands set up shop and they create funnels and training storms. Gotta be prepared for this s...
by Ptarmigan
Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:28 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

Shear still impacting and aiding in thunderstorm flare up. The latest GFS suggests wind shear may relax late Wednesday into Thursday. Our 'back yard' in notorious for quick spin ups with little model support and advance warning. That's why we always keep a weary eye on the Western Gulf during peak ...
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 10, 2018 7:11 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

:o WOW! We are living through some very historic days lately... 1998: Georges, Ivan, Karl, Jeanne https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/four-hurricanes-once-atlantic-basin-20130925 http://www.outlook.noaa.gov/98hurricanes/4hcanes.gif Ivan lasted 23 days and struck the US twice! It is from 1998....
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:57 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.3ºC
Niño 3 0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. All other regions warmed up.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:50 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 596
Views: 191445

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Weekend/Tracking The Tropics

That area south of Cuba looks very interesting. I just saw that is it a low pressure or upper level low? Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/091648_MIATWDAT.shtml? ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... An upper level low is centered over the E Gulf...
by Ptarmigan
Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:30 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Weekend/Tracking The Tropics

Anyone care to elaborate on this? I know it's a long ways off. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2018090712&fh=384 Let's hope its right! That very long range GFS run shield us from a Hurricane bearing down on the Gulf Coast... ;) T...
by Ptarmigan
Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:32 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.4ºC
Niño 3.4 0.2ºC
Niño 3 -0.1ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled except for Region 4, which is the same from last week.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Sep 03, 2018 10:23 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 596
Views: 191445

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Flood Watch/PTS #7

Katdaddy wrote:The evening satellite image looks quite impressive over the NW GOM just offshore of TX and LA.


Quite impressive on satellite. Looks like a hurricane.
by Ptarmigan
Sun Sep 02, 2018 10:08 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week
Replies: 679
Views: 56363
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