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August 2017 - Heat And Rain?

August is coming up. August is when hurricane season starts to heat up. Some of the most devastating hurricanes occurred in August; Sea Islands (1893), San Ciriaco (1899), Monterrey (1909), Camille (1969), David (1979), Alicia (1983), Andrew (1992), Charley (2004), Katrina (2005), Dean (2007), and I...
by Ptarmigan
Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:43 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017 - Heat And Rain?
Replies: 0
Views: 38

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.5ºC
Niño 3.4 0.5ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.0ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 and 4 cooled.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Jul 17, 2017 7:19 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 504
Views: 156080

Re: July 2017 - Increasing Weekend Rain/Storm Chances

Top 10 Overall Warmest Summer (Low and High Temperature) Temperature 1.) 2011 86.07°F 2.) 1998 85.10°F 3.) 2009 84.73°F 4.) 1896 84.40°F 5.) 2010 84.27°F 6.) 1897 84.07°F 7.) 1980/2016 83.93°F 8.) 1958 83.87°F 9.) 1951 83.77°F 10.) 1899/2015 83.67°F Last summer and the summer before was hot. 2016 ti...
by Ptarmigan
Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:19 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2017 - Rain Chances Decreasing/Summer Heat Builds
Replies: 137
Views: 11461

Re: ENSO Updates

CFSv2 El Nino Region 3.4 forecast.

Image

Looks to be Neutral to weak El Nino.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:07 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 504
Views: 156080

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.6ºC
Niño 3 0.2ºC
Niño 1+2 -0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2, 3, and 3.4 cooled. Region 4 remains the same.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:06 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 504
Views: 156080

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.6ºC
Niño 3.4 0.7ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.4ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 warmed. Region 3 and 3.4 remain the same. Region 4 cooled slightly.
by Ptarmigan
Mon Jul 03, 2017 9:52 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 504
Views: 156080

Re: July 2017 - 4th of July Holiday Outlook

GFS has this as an Atlantic coast storm but :shock: at the potential strength of this TC in mid July off Florida. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017070118/gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_48.png The site chopped off the end, but 958 mb pressure... FWIW, both GFS and CMC have higher rain chance...
by Ptarmigan
Sun Jul 02, 2017 11:14 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2017 - Rain Chances Decreasing/Summer Heat Builds
Replies: 137
Views: 11461

Re: July 2017 - 4th of July Holiday Outlook

Halfway through 2017.
by Ptarmigan
Wed Jun 28, 2017 10:57 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2017 - Rain Chances Decreasing/Summer Heat Builds
Replies: 137
Views: 11461

Re: ENSO Updates

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 0.7ºC
Niño 3 0.4ºC
Niño 1+2 0.3ºC

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed up. Perhaps a Modoki El Nino?
by Ptarmigan
Mon Jun 26, 2017 10:30 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: ENSO Updates
Replies: 504
Views: 156080

Re: June 2017:Weekend Rains/Stalled Front

is that an Upper level low in the GOM? looks nosiy down there. Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/251743_MIATWDAT.shtml? ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A sharp middle/upper level trough is positioned over the NW gulf with the axis extending ...
by Ptarmigan
Sun Jun 25, 2017 5:34 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
Replies: 676
Views: 46672
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