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Re: December 2016- Progressive Pattern/Christmas Outlook

The problem with forecasting a snow storm in Houston is figuring out the position and track of the coastal low. IF a low forms a little further southeast and is a little stronger than forecast it can pull in more cold air, but also pull moisture further offshore, stunting the snow chance. A little c...
by David Paul
Tue Dec 13, 2016 5:00 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2016- End Of Year Forecast
Replies: 487
Views: 54803

Re: August 2016: Significant Pattern Change/Rain Chances Ret

If I remember correctly, in the spring of '83, Houston had a rash outbreak of tornadoes. I grew up and lived in Oak Forest. There were trees down everywhere. Pine trees had twisted tops and when I drive back thru the neighborhood I can still see a few of them alive today, having survived in a mangl...
by David Paul
Fri Aug 19, 2016 11:44 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.
Replies: 517
Views: 50061

Re: August 2016: Significant Pattern Change/Rain Chances Ret

10 pm newscast.

Thanks and Cheers!
by David Paul
Thu Aug 18, 2016 4:25 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.
Replies: 517
Views: 50061

Re: August 2016: Significant Pattern Change/Rain Chances Ret

This was the night before Alicia, with plywood we didn't use. https://scontent-iad3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/fr/cp0/e15/q65/13962530_1303084326378219_8951190664351096813_n.jpg?efg=eyJpIjoidCJ9&oh=5f0d6917408fbc51f24b736019b04440&oe=58523FBC May I use this pic on the air tonight please!!!? Th...
by David Paul
Thu Aug 18, 2016 3:28 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.
Replies: 517
Views: 50061

Re: August 2016: Significant Pattern Change/Rain Chances Ret

Yep, the GFS has been and continues to be the most aggressive with rain totals for our area this weekend. Regardless of the exact track of the low, PWats will be exceedingly high in SE Texas over the next few days and ANY storm that develops in that atmosphere has the potential to dump 2"+ rain...
by David Paul
Fri Aug 12, 2016 11:44 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2016: Rain Chances Continue.
Replies: 517
Views: 50061

Re: April 2016 - Severe WX/Excessive Rainfall Threat This We

During the drought years of 2010-2013... i hated the cap. Tonight, I love it.
by David Paul
Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:01 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2016 Recap: Regional Flood/Severe Weather
Replies: 689
Views: 54897

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

Good morning all! Keeping an eye on the radar with you overnight. Noticing rainfall rates in the strongest cells at about 1.2" per hour. Not enough to cause major flooding yet, but concerning. Bayous responding but most well within banks for now. Going to be plenty of high water spots and pondi...
by David Paul
Thu Mar 10, 2016 2:34 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 27260

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

Surface winds backing to the NE helping to fire off a line of storms to our north... shows how very unstable the atmosphere is becoming in central and east Texas tonight. Looks like some weak convection trying to get going in Waller and Washington counties now. Watching it, and growing concerned tha...
by David Paul
Wed Mar 09, 2016 12:41 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 27260

Re: December: Moderating Temps/Rain Late Week

That's the idea Stormrider, just an early heads up on what COULD be coming so people can plan ahead. If we don't get pipe busting cold, I'll be very happy.
by David Paul
Thu Dec 12, 2013 6:49 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December: New Years Eve Outlook
Replies: 769
Views: 64082
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