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Re: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday

Im concerned about cell merging over the city, with the line of storms progressing from the west...
by don
Wed Jun 20, 2018 4:20 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Apparently, the NWS is considering issuing a Flash Flood watch maybe as early as today...Here is the 12z NAM QPF:
by don
Mon Jun 18, 2018 10:03 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

The 12z 3k NAM even looks more aggressive with qpf amounts, showing training feeder bands over the area. This system is starting to remind me of the August 2016 inland "Tropical depression" that stalled in Louisiana and caused major flooding.
by don
Mon Jun 18, 2018 9:46 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Yes the HRRR is really aggressive today, lets hope this doesn't verify today.The Tech WRF also looks similar.
by don
Mon Jun 18, 2018 7:06 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

WPC mentions that a Moderate Risk may be needed for some portions of the area. Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 425 PM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018 Day 2 Valid 12Z Mon Jun 18 2018 - 12Z Tue Jun 19 2018 ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE TEXAS G...
by don
Sun Jun 17, 2018 3:56 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

12z Euro shifted the bulk of heavy rains even further north, now it shows the bulk of heaviest rains in the Coastal Bend region and Southeast Texas....

Image
by don
Sun Jun 17, 2018 1:46 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Im getting more concerned about Heavy rain, some of the mesoscale models look pretty aggressive with rainfall amounts.
by don
Sun Jun 17, 2018 10:48 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

The vorticity looks pretty sharp on the 12z Euro gets close to closing it off.

Image
by don
Sat Jun 16, 2018 1:01 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947

Re: JUNE 2018: Watching The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

The 0z CMC is not backing down on development to what looks to be a depression.FWIW the CMC has been the most consistent model the last couple of days. The RGEM also tries to develop the system right before landfall along the upper Texas coast.Fwiw the ICON model also looks similar to the CMC. https...
by don
Fri Jun 15, 2018 11:37 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Heavy Rainfall Possible Through Wednesday
Replies: 678
Views: 44947
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