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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead

Some of the 0z models look to be playing catch-up, they are trending more aggressive with the rain from Willa, especially the NAM fwiw.
by don
Sun Oct 21, 2018 11:56 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 252
Views: 20246

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

The 12z Euro shows maybe 1-2” for most of SETX through 240 hours. That’s not that much for a 10 day time period. The 12z Euro shows pockets of heavy rain throughout the state and that's what actually matters this far out. You shouldn't look at exact rainfall amount's and exact locations and take th...
by don
Tue Oct 16, 2018 5:10 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 252
Views: 20246

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

Concern growing as a series of disturbances travel along the NW Gulf Coast and then a re curving EPAC Tropical Cyclone makes landfall near the Southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. There is a growing consensus that our Region will likely experience below normal temperatures a way above average precip...
by don
Tue Oct 16, 2018 4:20 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 252
Views: 20246

Re: Ticka

This is terrible news, my condolences go out to her family.God Bless them.
by don
Mon Oct 01, 2018 10:19 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Ticka
Replies: 18
Views: 1375

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week

May want to get used to the rain as indications are that we may have a wet El Nino this winter...
by don
Sat Sep 22, 2018 6:05 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week

Im not sure why some are calling this a bust... mesoscale models show storms forming along the frontal boundary as it moves into the metro area this afternoon with the heating of the day.
by don
Sat Sep 22, 2018 11:54 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Rain Chances & Fall Front Late Next Week

The NWS mentioned in their discussion this afternoon that a Flash Flood watch may be required this weekend. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 401 PM CDT Thu Sep 20 2018 .DISCUSSION... Rain chances ramping up for the weekend and heavy rain threat. This afternoon r...
by don
Thu Sep 20, 2018 6:00 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/images/mcd0835.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0835 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 929 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 Areas affected...TX Coast & Vicinity Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 141328Z - 141858Z Summary.....
by don
Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:32 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

Looks like the system is trying to become a depression before landfall, it probably won't be classified though due to lack of a windfield and proximity to land. We really need to watch the radar today to make sure training doesn't set up...
by don
Fri Sep 14, 2018 9:50 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017

Re: SEPTEMBER 2018 -Wet Week/Tracking INVEST 95L

Several of the mesoscale models have 95L riding along the coast and making landfall on the middle Texas coast, maybe that's why they have that area shaded.
by don
Thu Sep 13, 2018 1:18 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: SEPTEMBER 2018 - Very Wet Month Wrap Up
Replies: 720
Views: 67017
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