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Re: August 2017: Increasing Rain Chances/Tracking The Tropic

This Euro run is unreal. I can't believe what I see. My brain won't let me believe that. I realize it is only one model run but yes ... very, very concerning. The 12z Euro shows rainfall totals over the next 8 days of 12-20" in Harris County alone, much of that falling late Saturday into early...
by Portastorm
Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:57 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1754
Views: 104408

Re: August 2017: Typical August WX/ Tracking The Tropics

Here in Austin it reached 101 at Camp Mabry today, 99 at the airport. This was the 40th day this year when Mabry hit 100 or higher. I believe in 2013 we had 42 days and we should beat that. Of course the bar is set high with the 2011 nightmare (an incredible 90 days).

Hoping we finally see rain soon.
by Portastorm
Sun Aug 20, 2017 5:51 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1754
Views: 104408

Re: August 2017: Typical August WX/ Tracking The Tropics

Based on satellite this morning, it appears rumors of Harvey's death were greatly exaggerated. ;)
by Portastorm
Sun Aug 20, 2017 8:23 am
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1754
Views: 104408

Re: August 2017: Typical August WX/ Tracking The Tropics

Great discussion srain! You really put this whole situation into perspective with lots of great info. Thank you!
by Portastorm
Sat Aug 19, 2017 7:40 am
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1754
Views: 104408

Re: August 2017: Typical August WX/ Eye On The Tropics

Given the time of year, the pattern, and the activity in the central Atlantic, it's hard for me to believe that there won't be at least one named system entering the Gulf of Mexico in the next two weeks.
by Portastorm
Wed Aug 16, 2017 4:05 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1754
Views: 104408

Re: June 2017:Weekend Rains/Stalled Front

Very dangerous heat indices here at 4 pm in South Central Texas ranging between 110-114 right now. Sure hoping the latest short range models are correct and that rain is coming tomorrow.
by Portastorm
Fri Jun 23, 2017 4:52 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
Replies: 676
Views: 52754

Re: June 2017: ALT PTC #3 / Tropical Storm Watch Issued

I realize looks can be deceiving when viewing satellite loops on these kinds of systems, but after reviewing the 48-image GOES 16 visible satellite of the Gulf ... it doesn't look like this thing is moving right now. At all.
by Portastorm
Tue Jun 20, 2017 12:15 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
Replies: 676
Views: 52754

Re: June 2017: Tracking INVEST 93L / Gulf Of Mexico Threat

I won't hazard a guess at what 93L is going to do. However, I do have a lot of confidence in both the Euro and UKMet models and how they're handling the overall setup. Both models consistently beat the GFS in 5- and 6-day skill scores in the Northern Hemisphere.
by Portastorm
Sun Jun 18, 2017 8:40 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
Replies: 676
Views: 52754

Re: June 2017: Rain Chances Returns/Watching The Tropics

I mean no disrespect or throwing "shade" on HGX but I don't understand how they can continue to be so dismissive of the possibility of this potential system impacting South and Southeast Texas. Caution and patience are certainly the guidance key words here so that folks don't freak out abo...
by Portastorm
Wed Jun 14, 2017 9:06 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2017: Typical Summertime WX To End Month
Replies: 676
Views: 52754

Re: January 2017 - Progressive Pattern/Turning Seasonably Co

Quite the "winter" day here in Austin. For the sixth time this "winter," we set a new high temperature record. Today's marks of 82 at ABIA and 81 at Camp Mabry were easily encompassed. At 4 pm, we had 85 at ABIA and 83 at Mabry. This wouldn't be so bad if we didn't have to suffer...
by Portastorm
Tue Jan 24, 2017 5:24 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2017 -Warming Trend To End The Month
Replies: 510
Views: 66735
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