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Re: MAY 2018 - Early May Rain/Severe WX Potential

I wanted to briefly point out some signal developing in the medium/long range ensemble guidance suggesting a prolonged SE fetch off the Gulf begin this coming Sunday and extends throughout next work week. A vigorous deep trough appears to dig into the 4 Corners Region with the potential for a very r...
by srainhoutx
Tue Apr 24, 2018 7:23 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: MAY 2018 - Early May Rain/Severe WX Potential
Replies: 4
Views: 506

Re: April 2018- 2 Fronts This Week/Mostly Pleasant WX Ahead

Beautiful late April weather continues into Wednesday when the next upper trough and weaker storm system as seen on water vapor imagery near Utah cross the Southern Plains ushering in a reinforcing shot of drier and cooler air with a chance of some showers and possibly an elevated thunderstorm or tw...
by srainhoutx
Mon Apr 23, 2018 8:02 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- 2 Fronts This Week/Mostly Pleasant WX Ahead

NWSWGRFC‏Verified account @NWSWGRFC · 2h2 hours ago
A wide area across east Texas received 1.25 inches or less of beneficial rainfall over the previous 24 hours. The rainfall event produced minor flooding at only one location within the Sabine basin. #txwx #txflood

by srainhoutx
Sun Apr 22, 2018 12:15 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- Saturday Night Storms/Sunday Strong Front

Just emptied 1.33 inches from the rain gage. If we keep this up, no drought worries for our part of the State for a while... ;)
by srainhoutx
Sun Apr 22, 2018 9:02 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: MAY 2018 - Will cooler temps hang around?

The afternoon Updated Climate Prediction Center Experimental Week 3 to 4 Outlook that takes is into early/mid May suggests a deep Central/East Coast trough with equal chances of normal precipitation.
by srainhoutx
Thu Apr 19, 2018 8:44 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: MAY 2018 - Early May Rain/Severe WX Potential
Replies: 4
Views: 506

Re: April 2018- Cool Front Wednesday/Weekend Rain Chances

Still uncertainty regarding the sensible weather this morning for Saturday into early Sunday morning. Our bowling ball upper low is nearing the California Coast and should be fully onshore later today. The ECMWF/GFS continue to decrease both severe storms and rainfall potential as the frontal bounda...
by srainhoutx
Thu Apr 19, 2018 7:33 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- Cool Front Wednesday/Weekend Rain Chances

In 2016 and 2009 we had large amounts of rain and flooding . Saw it on my FB history. Tax Day Flood was 2 years ago yesterday when I measured over 20 inches in 12 hours. In 2009, a stationary thunderstorm complex developed during the overnight hours and dropped almost 17 inches in about hours in my...
by srainhoutx
Wed Apr 18, 2018 9:15 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- Cool Front Wednesday/Weekend Rain Chances

Wednesday morning briefing from Jeff: weak cool front will slide into the area on Thursday and stall near the coast resulting in cooler conditions both Thursday and Friday. Could see a few showers with the boundary Thursday, but strong capping aloft looks to prevent much in the way of thunderstorms....
by srainhoutx
Wed Apr 18, 2018 7:54 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- Cool Front Wednesday/Weekend Rain Chances

I am not seeing much hope for any meaningful rainfall this weekend and the severe thunderstorms chances even for Central Texas are diminishing day by day as the available moisture decreases and jet structures appear out of sync. Maybe by Friday things will change, but at this time a quarter to possi...
by srainhoutx
Wed Apr 18, 2018 6:59 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696

Re: April 2018- Warming Trend/Weak Front Thursday/Stormy Wee

The weekend continues to look unsettled with a bowling ball vertically stacked mid/upper low tracking across Texas with a bit of a negative tilt in the trough axis suggesting a better chance of the possibility of seeing strong to severe storms Saturday into early Sunday before the next vigorous cold...
by srainhoutx
Tue Apr 17, 2018 6:59 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: April 2018- MS 150 Forecast This Weekend
Replies: 246
Views: 12696
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