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Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

The afternoon Updated Quantitative Precipitation Forecast for our neighbors to the West is looking worrisome. If the 7 day rainfall forecast verifies, some locations could exceed 15 inches of very heavy rainfall mainly West of an Austin to Corpus Christi line.
by srainhoutx
Fri Sep 22, 2017 3:17 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: October 2017 - will it turn cooler?

The afternoon Updated Climate Prediction Center Day 8 - 14 Outlook suggests typically what we experience as October begins. The CPC Experimental Week 3 and 4 look much the same.
by srainhoutx
Fri Sep 22, 2017 3:12 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2017 - will it turn cooler?
Replies: 4
Views: 351

Re: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery

NWS Lake Charles issued their final report for Harvey. Nederland reported 64.58 inches of rainfall and Groves reported 63.14 inches of rainfall for the event. POST TROPICAL CYCLONE REPORT...TROPICAL STORM HARVEY...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1117 AM CDT THU SEP 21 2017 NOTE: THE...
by srainhoutx
Fri Sep 22, 2017 8:13 am
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1755
Views: 104688

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

Regarding rainfall amounts or if we may see heavy rainfall across SE Texas as the cold front arrives, there is a lot of uncertainty as we typically expect 7 days out. The GFS is more aggressive with higher rainfall totals as it is the slowest in pushing the 850mb cold front through SE Texas versus t...
by srainhoutx
Fri Sep 22, 2017 6:34 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

One inch per 15 minutes rainfall rates occurring in NW Harris County. Streets are flooding.
by srainhoutx
Thu Sep 21, 2017 1:05 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: Major Hurricane Maria: Heading Near Bahamas

Thursday morning briefing from Jeff: Maria made landfall on the island of Puerto Rico this morning as a 155mph category 4 hurricane making it the strongest hurricane to strike the inland since 1932. 100% of the island is currently without power and nearly every cell phone tower was destroyed. Both N...
by srainhoutx
Thu Sep 21, 2017 9:09 am
 
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Major Hurricane Maria: Heading Near Bahamas
Replies: 23
Views: 899

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

NWS Houston‏Verified account @NWSHouston · 1m1 minute ago
Similar to Monday this week, today there will be another chance of rain with locally heavy rainfall this afternoon. #houwx #bcswx #txwx


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by srainhoutx
Thu Sep 21, 2017 7:44 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

Growing indications that our long awaited first Fall Cold Front arrives across the Lone Star State on September 27th/28th. How do temperatures in the upper 50's to low 60's for morning lows with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 70's sound?
by srainhoutx
Thu Sep 21, 2017 7:09 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

The 12Z Deterministic GFS and ECWMF guidance are coming into somewhat better agreement suggesting a cold front arrives across our Region near the 27th (GFS) or 28th (ECMWF) ushering in lower dew point/less humidity and cooler air. That front likely will play a big role on any impacts that Hurricane ...
by srainhoutx
Wed Sep 20, 2017 3:38 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927

Re: September 2017 - Rain Chances & Typical Late Summer WX

For those searching for some relief from the warm weather, I have some good news and some not so good news. The 00Z ECMWF suggests a cold front arrives around the 28th with some colder air filtering in on the 30th. The not so good news is it's still 10 days out and temperatures appear to not be any ...
by srainhoutx
Wed Sep 20, 2017 7:28 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2017 - Rain Chances/End Of Month Cold Front
Replies: 125
Views: 11927
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