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Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead

Friday evening briefing from Jeff: Short term model guidance is afternoon has been trending toward an increasing threat for heavy rainfall for this evening into the overnight period mainly west of I-45 and south of I-10. The HRRR and a few of the other high resolution models have been showing this p...
by srainhoutx
Fri Oct 19, 2018 6:48 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead

We certainly need to monitor tonight into tomorrow before the front passes. I continue see a very active weather pattern ahead and will continue to watch the next Tuesday into Wednesday timeframe carefully. Typically a slow moving frontal boundary and a coastal low creeping along the Upper Texas Coa...
by srainhoutx
Fri Oct 19, 2018 5:02 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

Bob Rose and the LCRA have announced they will have to open up 4 additional flood gates at Mansfield Dam over the next 24 hours. That will be the most flood gates opened at one time for Lake Travis. Residents down stream along Lake Austin, Lady Bird Lake and the Colorado River are urged to make prec...
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 2:17 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

snowman65 wrote:Latest GFS drops the temp hammer on us (for this time of year) on Halloween/Nov 1....


Those are some very chilly Analogs according to the GEFS Super Ensembles for late in the Month...
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 1:32 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

San Jacinto River Authority will begin controlled releases from Lake Conroe this afternoon. Trinity River Authority will increases releases form Lake Livingston today.
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 12:52 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

72 Hour rainfall totals across the NWS San Antonio/Austin WFO... PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1027 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2018 ...72 HOUR RAINFALL REPORTS... LOCATION AMOUNT TIME/DATE PROVIDER ...TEXAS... ...ATASCOSA COUNTY... 4 W POTEET 2.06 IN 0700 AM 10/1...
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 12:29 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

LCRA to open 4 additional flood gates on Lake Buchanan today for a total of 8 flood gates open. Inflow into Lake Travis expect to cause elevation levels to rise to 700 ft. Serious flood conditions expected to continue as additional rainfall is expected Thursday into Friday.
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:16 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

I saw a pic a few days ago showing below average temps for our area over the next few weeks but I'm seeing forecasts of only average temps....did something change that I'm not seeing? Our average high maximums in Houston this time of year is 80F. Even if skies clear out for 24 to 36 hours after the...
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:13 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

94L moved inland and the NHC has tagged an area within the monsoonal gyre over Central America with 60%/90% High Chance of becoming a Tropical Cyclone. The monsoonal gyre is dissipating as cold air filters S in the SW Gulf and it's likely future Vicente will develop somewhere near the Central Ameri...
by srainhoutx
Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:41 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - First Fall Cold Front/Cool & Damp WX

Concern growing as a series of disturbances travel along the NW Gulf Coast and then a re curving EPAC Tropical Cyclone makes landfall near the Southern tip of the Baja Peninsula. There is a growing consensus that our Region will likely experience below normal temperatures a way above average precip...
by srainhoutx
Tue Oct 16, 2018 3:38 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Active WX Pattern Ahead
Replies: 245
Views: 19482
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