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Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Very Progressive Pattern/Roller Coaster

It has been a winter for sure here in SETX, but after yesterday... I'm getting the spring itch. I do think though we have a good chance at having relatively cool days as we head on the downside of winter and I expect a couple more nights of freezes too. However, I would expect that forecast more in ...
by Belmer
Fri Feb 02, 2018 11:35 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: FEBRUARY 2018 - Active WX Pattern/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 315
Views: 22901

Re: FEBRUARY 2018 - Arctic Cold Returning?

sau27 wrote:*For entertainment only* That 12 z GFS. Heyoo!!


Cold (near 32F) at the surface, but very warm aloft...
About 48F at 925mb
About 50F at 850mb
About 37F at 700mb

Temperature aloft doesn't drop below 32F till about 600mb.

I've already seen my fair share of Freezing rain this winter. :roll:
by Belmer
Sat Jan 27, 2018 4:08 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: FEBRUARY 2018 - Active WX Pattern/Heavy Rainfall Possible
Replies: 315
Views: 22901

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Warming Trend Begins/Will It Last Long?

anyone else see some precip across the near Eagle Pass starting to form? Haven't received any word whether precipitation is actually making it to the ground, but my hunch is that it is not. While the upper levels are more moist, the middle and lower levels look too dry for anything to make it all t...
by Belmer
Thu Jan 18, 2018 11:18 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm/Hard Freeze Warnings

Latest 21Z HRRR shows with snow/sleet/ice covered ground, North of I-10, temperatures could approach upper single digits to low teens.
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 4:41 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

Scott Overpeck, lead forecaster for NWSHouston tweeted a moment ago that an airplane sounding of temperature/dewpoint at around 1:19PM (CST) this afternoon shows the profile has transitioned to at or all below 32F. Indicating most precipitation should fall as snow, with maybe some sleet. Here is the...
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 2:53 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

Driveway is freezing over here in the garden oaks/oak forest region. Heavy ice pellets/sleet falling. Based on radar we still have several more hours. I suspect a lot of school delays/cancelations will occur for tomorrow. Was talking to a school district little bit ago... tough call for them to mak...
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 12:27 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

Sorry if this was asked earlier, what is missing in the mix for the sleet/icy mix to turn to actual snow? The reason we are seeing more of a sleet mix than snow is because there is a small warm nose aloft. Meaning the cold air is very dense here at the surface, but up a few thousand feet the temper...
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 12:08 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

Looks like most of the 'action' so to speak will be north of I-10 the next couple of hours as the heavy band of precipitation north of Columbus continues to move E/ENE. Dry slot to our SW and not much developing right now near Victoria, though should change as we head into the afternoon. If you're n...
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 10:40 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

As Brooks just mentioned on air, orientation of precipitation out west is starting to have a bit more southwest to northeast movement instead of a due east to southeast orientation. This could throw a big wrench in our forecast the next few hours in terms of precipitation type and accumulation.
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 10:11 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368

Re: JANUARY 2018 - Winter Storm Warning/Advisory For Tuesday

DoctorMu wrote:Snow with some rain mixed in. Really blustery. N 21 G 35


Saw on some radars that blue was starting to appear right in College Station. Was wondering if that was actually reaching the ground as snow. Thanks for the report!
by Belmer
Tue Jan 16, 2018 1:30 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JANUARY 2018 - Seasonal WX Week/Pacific Front Saturday
Replies: 1029
Views: 72368
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