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Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outl

I think we can bank on it getting cold, but precipitation I’m not so sure about. Probably would just be overcast with some drizzle around. That’s usually what happens. Heck, that’s what’s happening out there right now.
by Cpv17
Mon Nov 19, 2018 3:11 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outl

The models are really backing down on rain for this week. Now has most places only getting about half an inch to an inch and a half.
by Cpv17
Sun Nov 18, 2018 1:31 am
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outl

The models have really cut back on rainfall totals the last couple days. A few days ago this was looking like a big ticket rain event of widespread 3-6” totals across the whole area. Now it just looks like 1-2”.
by Cpv17
Sat Nov 17, 2018 1:39 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

I really don’t see any signs on the models of any cold air coming the next couple weeks and neither does the CPC. We need cold air to build in our source region (western and northern Canada) and a 1050mb+ high pressure to drive it south and I don’t see any signs of that happening on the models. The...
by Cpv17
Fri Nov 16, 2018 6:03 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Average High Temperature- October 15 to November 15th...Now, Srain can extrapolate more on this since he is a pro met and a long range guy, but look at the cool colors...:) And here I was thinking all the orange in Florida were areas of voter fraud...lol. But yes, Srain is the one to go to for enha...
by Cpv17
Fri Nov 16, 2018 3:11 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

The AFD was very detailed. Here is sorta the summary at the end: Fortunately the models continue to show the highest rainfall amounts well off the coast in the Gulf that the area should avoid the heavy rainfall threat. That`s not to say we will not get any rain in the area because we are still look...
by Cpv17
Fri Nov 16, 2018 1:17 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

WPC keeps most of the rain offshore for next week.

Image
by Cpv17
Thu Nov 15, 2018 4:05 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

All of the 12z model runs today backed away from cold air. The only model run today that showed any potential for Artic air was the 6z FV3. Plenty of rain around though for the next couple weeks.
by Cpv17
Thu Nov 15, 2018 3:09 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

The longer range guidance will be playing cat up with these new Updated Teleconnection Indices. Impressive Hemispheric Pattern developing as we end November and begin December. Siberia is running well below normal temperature wise for mid November. A massive Northern latitude blocking regime establ...
by Cpv17
Thu Nov 15, 2018 2:18 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007

Re: NOVEMBER 2018: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Katdaddy wrote:Ready for Spring and Summer 2019 however if Winter 2018-2019 brings some snow; I will enjoy and stay warm.


It already has once lol I believe a lot more will come. This setup is looking fantastic!
by Cpv17
Wed Nov 14, 2018 8:49 pm
 
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: NOVEMBER 2018: Wet & Chilly Wx Returns/Thanksgiving Outlook
Replies: 211
Views: 11007
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