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Re: INVEST 96L: Possible Caribbean Threat

This is the biggest threat out there in the tropics at present. Could move across the NE Caribbean as nearly a hurricane on Tuesday and in the eastern Bahamas as a hurricane next Friday. Not looking like a Gulf threat, but could be a major hurricane threat to the East U.S. Coast the following Mon/Tue.
by wxman57
Sat Sep 16, 2017 7:42 am
 
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Major Hurricane Maria: Heading Near Bahamas
Replies: 26
Views: 1257

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

TexasBreeze wrote:The band to the sw has me worried. The same thing happened last evening with a band that started there then came in and stalled out....


I think this band may wait until it passes Houston to get heavier. For now, I'm expecting at most an inch or two in SW Houston from it over the next hour or two.
by wxman57
Sun Aug 27, 2017 8:00 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

djmike wrote:Thats not good for beaumont!!!! We've already received 18"-20" lastnight. Praying no repeat!


No, not good for you at all.
by wxman57
Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:49 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Another feeder band moving into west Houston now - not as strong as previous bands. High-res HRRR model which predicted the 18+ inches in Houston last night intensifies this feeder band across east Houston by 10pm and moves it east into the Beaumont/Port Arthur area by midnight. Might not be too ba...
by wxman57
Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:39 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Another feeder band moving into west Houston now - not as strong as previous bands. High-res HRRR model which predicted the 18+ inches in Houston last night intensifies this feeder band across east Houston by 10pm and moves it east into the Beaumont/Port Arthur area by midnight. Might not be too bad...
by wxman57
Sun Aug 27, 2017 2:15 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Seeing strong rotation and hook echo 25 miles SSW of Bellaire. May pass just west of Fresno in the next 10 min or so. Next in line would be me. Strongest rotation yet.
by wxman57
Sat Aug 26, 2017 7:31 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

As for Harvey's center, I'm looking at a loop over the past several hours and don't see any significant movement. It's behaving precisely as predicted - stalling. I'm hearing the thunder from the approaching squall line in SW Houston (south of Meyerland). Doppler radar indicates 2 areas of rotation ...
by wxman57
Sat Aug 26, 2017 7:07 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

I'm somewhat surprised at the level of panic across the Houston area. I guess it's hard to make people understand that the possibly 15-20 inches of rain here will be spread out over 4-5 days, and the worst of it may not arrive until next Tuesday or Wednesday. Houston may see up to 1-2 inches per day...
by wxman57
Fri Aug 25, 2017 6:07 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

The center will always follow the convection. As the heavy squalls rotate around the storm, the center will keep wobbling toward the heavier convection. It's on track for landfall near (just north of) Corpus Christi.
by wxman57
Thu Aug 24, 2017 8:24 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

VERY busy at work today. Have just a minute to check on the forum. Harvey is strengthening rapidly, could well be a Cat 4 when it hits north of Corpus Christi tomorrow night. Big question is how far inland it gets over the weekend. Euro keeps it near the coast, thus not weakening it too much before ...
by wxman57
Thu Aug 24, 2017 4:52 pm
 
Global announcement: August 2017: Harvey/Catastrophic Flood/Recovery
Replies: 1762
Views: 123361
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